Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Peter Lambert is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On Pitcher - Earned Runs, our numbers say this bet wins about 60 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 60%, implied 62%, edge +19.0%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Under 5.50 SOlanded 6 of the last 6
Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.
Model updated Aug 22, 8:15PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 2.5
-164 (1.61) · $100→$161
+19.0% Edge
Los Angeles Angels
@
Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Fri 21 Aug, 12:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 867 of 1,730 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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How often this wins
81 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 81.1% · the book's price implies 62.1% · gap +19.0%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 81.1% | 60.1% | 62.1% | 1.73 | +19.0% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/4 |
| Last 10 games | 0/4 |
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Peter Lambert Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-164)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Houston Astros play Los Angeles Angels in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Peter Lambert Under 2.5 Earned Runs (-164). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at -164 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: SO
Peter Lambert has gone over 2.5 SO in 33% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o2.533%
o3.50%
o4.50%
o5.50%
o6.50%
o7.50%
Peter Lambert is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Peter Lambert is Under 2.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.0% on this pick. Their next game is Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros on Friday 21 August at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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