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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Pena is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 70%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:06PM UTC
MLB

Jeremy Pena

HOU

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Over 0.5 -233 (1.43)
+1.5% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Tue 16 Sep, 12:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
71.4%
Implied Probability
69.9%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits71.4%69.9%1.40+1.5%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games3/10

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AI Analysis

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Jeremy Pena (HOU) Over 0.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Jeremy Pena's recent performance indicates that he is a strong bet for the Over 0.5 in the Batter Hits Alternate market. His average hits per game over the last five games is 1.4, both overall and at home, exceeding the line of 0.5. His plate appearances per game, which average 4 overall and 4.2 at home, provide ample opportunities for hits. Against the Texas Rangers, Pena averages 0.8 hits per game, and his plate appearances increase to 4.6, further increasing his chances. This consistent performance is also reflected in his current hit streaks, with 13 overall and 5 at home, demonstrating his consistent ability to get on base. This data suggests a high probability that Pena will achieve over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
100%hit L10
1.4avg hits · L5
Streak13L2075%
O 0.5100%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%

Jeremy Pena MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games; averaging 1.4 hits over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Total BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.6avg total bases · L5
O 1.540%
O 2.520%
O 3.510%

Jeremy Pena MLB total bases: averaging 1.6 total bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
2.2avg H+R+RBI · L5
Streak2L2050%

Jeremy Pena MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 1.5 in 60% of the last 10 games; averaging 2.2 H+R+RBI over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted
1.2avg singles · L5

Jeremy Pena MLB singles: averaging 1.2 singles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - DoublesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg doubles · L5

Jeremy Pena MLB doubles: averaging 0.2 doubles over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.4avg walks · L5
O 0.530%

Jeremy Pena MLB walks: averaging 0.4 walks over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Stolen BasesSeason & recent formNo line posted
0.2avg stolen bases · L5

Jeremy Pena MLB stolen bases: averaging 0.2 stolen bases over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jeremy Pena (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Pena is Over 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros on Tuesday 16 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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