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Jeremy Pena

HOU

Value call

Jeremy Pena has one live pick today: over 1.5 stolen bases that pays $7,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
4 in 100
Predicted
0.2 stolen bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 3.8% · before adjusting for past results 3.3% · the book's price implies 1.3% · gap +2.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Wed 30 Sep, 5:00 PM ET
Jeremy Pena
over 1.5 stolen bases
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 1.5 +7500 (76.00) · $100→$7,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 4 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$760.00 Odds+7500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Pena is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 4 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 4%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 3:25AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases3.3%3.8%1.3%26.43+2.0%

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AI Analysis

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Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox: Jeremy Pena Over 1.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+7500)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

The Chicago White Sox have been hitting well, averaging almost 5 runs a game, which puts pressure on the Astros' pitchers. Houston's pitching staff has been walking more batters than most teams, which could give Jeremy Pena chances to steal bases if he gets on. With Pena's speed, he might take advantage of any mistakes the White Sox make. Betting on Jeremy Pena to steal more than 1.5 bases is a long shot, but it's worth a look. The odds are high, reflecting how tough this bet could be. The biggest risk here is that both teams are close in form, making it hard to predict how many opportunities Pena will actually get.

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -667 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -294 ✓ HIT
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Hits — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros Batter - Total Bases — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jeremy Pena (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Pena is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.0% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros on Wednesday 30 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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