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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Pena is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 33 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 33%, the price says 35%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 1Blanded 7 of the last 10
Over 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 6 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 20, 2:54AM UTC
MLB

Jeremy Pena

MLB

Jeremy Pena has one live pick today: Batter - Hits Under 0.5 that pays $288 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +188 (2.88) · $100→$288
Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Sat 19 Sep, 11:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 72 of 119 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
33 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 32.7% · before adjusting for past results 28.3% · the book's price implies 34.7% · gap -2.0%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits28.3%32.7%34.7%3.06-6.4%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Houston Astros vs Atlanta Braves: Jeremy Pena Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+188)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Jeremy Pena has been a bit quieter in recent games, especially in day games right after night games. He averages fewer hits in those situations compared to other games, and he's not had a great stretch lately. This makes it a good time to bet he might not get a hit against the Atlanta Braves today. The Braves have won a few of their last games, and they'll be looking to keep that momentum going. Plus, with the Astros' park being a bit friendlier for home runs, it might not favor Pena's chances at the plate. While he could surprise us, the stats suggest he might struggle to get a hit today.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jeremy Pena is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Jeremy Pena has gone over 1.5 total bases in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.540%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jeremy Pena is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in home games, including his recent form against TEX.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Home
0.8
Hits · vs TEX
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs TEX
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Batter - RBIs Pending
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Batter - RBIs Pending
19 Sep 26 Atlanta Braves @ Houston Astros Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Jeremy Pena is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Pena is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of -6.4% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Braves vs Houston Astros on Saturday 19 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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