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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jeremy Pena is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 92 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 92%, implied 90%, edge +2.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 11:37PM UTC
MLB

Jeremy Pena

HOU

+2.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -909 (1.11) · $100→$111
+2.3% Edge
Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Tue 16 Sep, 12:10AM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
92 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 92.4% · the book's price implies 90.1% · gap +2.3%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases92.4%—90.1%1.08+2.3%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games3/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Jeremy Pena (HOU) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jeremy Pena for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Pena's overall stolen base average is only 0.2, which is significantly lower than the line set at 0.5. This trend remains consistent when he plays at home, with his home stolen base average also at 0.2. Furthermore, when facing the Texas Rangers, his stolen base average drops to zero. Additionally, his overall and home caught stealing averages are both zero, indicating that he rarely attempts to steal bases. Therefore, given Pena's low stolen base averages, it is statistically unlikely that he will steal a base in the upcoming game against the Texas Rangers. This makes the Under 0.5 bet a strong choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Jeremy Pena is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.0 home runs and 0.2 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.0
HR
0.2
RBI
0.6
Runs
0.4
Walks
0.4
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases

Jeremy Pena has gone over 1.5 total bases in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o1.540%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Jeremy Pena is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.4 in home games, including his recent form against TEX.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.4
Hits · Home
0.8
Hits · vs TEX
0.0
HR · Overall
0.0
HR · Home
0.0
HR · vs TEX
Quick answers:How many home runs does Jeremy Peña hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Jeremy Pena (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jeremy Pena is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.3% on this pick. Their next game is Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros on Tuesday 16 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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