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Model picks & player props
Houston Astros
VS
San Francisco Giants

Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 4:34AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Oracle Park, San Francisco
Outdoor
Wed 12 Aug 2026, 7:45PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
75.6%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
San Francisco Giants -2 Spread +348

The model graded 70 markets for Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a long shot. A $100 bet returns about $448 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 75.6% across 45 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 12 Aug 2026, 7:45PM at Oracle Park.

Our confidenceLong-shot
Chance to win25.4%
The price says22.0%
Best price+348
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread San Francisco Giants -2 Long-shot25% chance +348
Spread Long-shot18% chance
Moneyline Lean43% chance
Spread Long-shot22% chance
Spread Long-shot10% chance
Spread Long-shot15% chance
Spread Long-shot7% chance
Spread Lean54% chance
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Lean42% chance
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 95%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 10 props Highup to 87%
Pitcher - Walks × 2 props Highup to 90%
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Highup to 99%
Batter - Hits × 5 props Highup to 94%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
San Francisco Giants -1.5 · $100 returned $440

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
San Francisco Giants
-3.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 56,322+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
San Francisco GiantsMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Probable pitcher

Bennett Sousa SP

San Francisco Giants

  • Casey Schmitt LFOut
  • Willy Adames SSOut
  • Jesus Rodriguez COut
  • Carson Whisenhunt SPOut
  • Adrian Houser SPOut
  • Matt Gage RPOut
  • JT Brubaker RPOut
  • Victor Bericoto LFOut
  • Joel Peguero RPOut
  • Marcelo Mayer 2BOut
  • Keaton Winn RPOut
  • Daniel Susac COut
  • Harrison Bader CFOut
  • Matt Chapman 3BOut
  • Trevor McDonald SPOut
  • Rowan Wick RPOut
  • Hayden Birdsong RPOut
  • Randy Rodriguez RPOut
  • Jose Butto RPOut

Probable pitcher

Matt Wilkinson SP
Yunior Marte SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 2:05AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 23 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability23 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Rafael Devers BOS Batter - Walks
Rafael Devers BOS Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Christian Koss Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Adrian Houser Pitcher - Walks
Yainer Diaz Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSan Francisco GiantsNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA0.4Home L54-1vs Houston Astros L51-4

San Francisco Giants moneyline form: last five 4-1, 3.4 runs/gm.

Run LineSan Francisco Giants run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF3.4L5 RA0.4Home L54-1vs Houston Astros L51-4

San Francisco Giants spread form: last five 4-1, 3.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · San Francisco Giants vs Houston AstrosNo line posted

San Francisco Giants total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsSan Francisco Giants team totalNo line posted
1.9runs we expect
L5 RF3.4L5 RA0.4Home L54-1vs Houston Astros L51-4

San Francisco Giants team total runs form: last five 4-1, 3.4 runs/gm.

Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants — recent results

San Francisco Giants have won 2 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 3 of their last 5.

San Francisco Giants — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L6–10ARIHome
L1–7ARIHome
W6–1ARIHome
W3–1CINHome
L9–10CINHome
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–6NYMAway
W3–1NYMAway
W5–1NYYAway
L3–9NYYAway
W9–7NYYAway

Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: San Francisco Giants won 1, Houston Astros won 2.

DateSan Francisco GiantsHouston AstrosWinner
Aug 1241San Francisco Giants
Aug 1212Houston Astros
Aug 1136Houston Astros

Who’s out or in doubt

23 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

San Francisco Giants
PlayerStatus
Casey Schmitt LFOUT
Willy Adames SSOUT
Jesus Rodriguez COUT
Carson Whisenhunt SPOUT
Adrian Houser SPOUT
Matt Gage RPOUT
JT Brubaker RPOUT
Victor Bericoto LFOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants — model preview

Our Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants prediction for August 13, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 13, 2026 our model has run Houston Astros at San Francisco Giants and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Taylor Trammell (HOU) Under 0.5 RBIs (-294), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
Recent form: won 4 of last 5 settled picks for this matchup.
45
Total Picks
75.6%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 6 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 7 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 6.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -2 ✗ MISS
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 5.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Moneyline San Francisco Giants ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 8 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -2.5 ✗ MISS
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 7.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -1.5 ✗ MISS
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 9 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Spread San Francisco Giants -1 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 10.5 ✓ HIT
12 Aug 26 Total Runs Under 9.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs San Francisco Giants in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Giants, or as Giants vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 12 August 2026 at Oracle Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 75.6% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 12 meetings on record
San Francisco Giants 8–4 across the last 12 meetings · these games average 6.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants4–1San Francisco Giants
11 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants3–6Houston Astros
10 Aug 2026Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants3–6Houston Astros
2 Apr 2025San Francisco Giants @ Houston Astros3–6San Francisco Giants
1 Apr 2025San Francisco Giants @ Houston Astros1–3San Francisco Giants
31 Mar 2025San Francisco Giants @ Houston Astros2–7San Francisco Giants
12 Jun 2024Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants5–3San Francisco Giants
11 Jun 2024Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants1–3Houston Astros
10 Jun 2024Houston Astros @ San Francisco Giants4–3San Francisco Giants
3 May 2023San Francisco Giants @ Houston Astros2–4San Francisco Giants

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 12 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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