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Model picks & player props
Houston Astros
VS
Tampa Bay Rays

Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 10, 4:19PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Indoor
Wed 21 May 2025, 5:10PM
0
Game markets graded
9
Props graded

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 546 of 996 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 10
Under 9.5
Houston Astros @ San Diego Padres
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $170

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Player props & full board
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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Houston Astros

  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut

Probable pitcher

Cristian Javier SP

Tampa Bay Rays

  • Griffin Jax SPOut
  • Ben Williamson 2BOut
  • Jake Fraley RFOut
  • Shane McClanahan SPOut
  • Cole Sulser RPOut
  • Manuel Rodriguez RPOut
  • Gavin Lux LFOut
  • Edwin Uceta RPOut
  • Jonathan Heasley RPOut
  • Ryan Pepiot SPOut

Probable pitcher

Ian Seymour SP
Availability updated Aug 10, 12:20AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 14 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability14 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jose Caballero TBR Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Josh Lowe TBR Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Taylor Walls TBR Batter - Stolen Bases 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Zack Littell TBR Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Ryan Pepiot TBR Pitcher - Walks 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Houston Astros @ Tampa Bay Rays — what the model found

Our model graded 9 betting markets for Houston Astros at Tampa Bay Rays — 0 on the game itself and 9 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

9
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 9 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 8 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent results

Tampa Bay Rays have won 5 of their last 5 games; Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5.

Tampa Bay Rays — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W3–2SEAAway
W4–1SEAAway
W2–1SEAAway
W9–7COLAway
W4–0COLAway
Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–7SDAway
W6–3SDAway
L2–3SDAway
W7–2TORHome
L4–5TORHome

Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Tampa Bay Rays won 1, Houston Astros won 2.

DateTampa Bay RaysHouston AstrosWinner
Jul 502Houston Astros
Jul 431Tampa Bay Rays
Jul 4810Houston Astros

Who’s out or in doubt

14 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Tampa Bay Rays
PlayerStatus
Griffin Jax SPOUT
Ben Williamson 2BOUT
Jake Fraley RFOUT
Shane McClanahan SPOUT
Cole Sulser RPOUT
Manuel Rodriguez RPOUT
Gavin Lux LFOUT
Edwin Uceta RPOUT
Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Houston Astros vs Tampa Bay Rays in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Astros vs Rays, or as Rays vs Astros. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 21 May 2025 at Tropicana Field. The model has generated 9 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

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