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Model picks & player props
MLB
Minute Maid Park, Houston
Indoor
Wed 30 Sep 2026, 5:00 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
VS
Houston Astros

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros and backs Over 0.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $216.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Over 0.5 total runs 1st 1 innings
Over 0.5 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$21.60Best price+116
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win50.3%
The price says45.5%

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $216 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Wed 30 Sep 2026, 5:00 PM ET at Minute Maid Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 Lean50% chance +116
Total Runs Members only Long-shot21% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean43% chance Members
Spread Members only Long-shot36% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot16% chance Members
Batter - RBIs × 11 props Leanup to 47% Members
Batter - Singles × 4 props Highup to 94% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 8 props Leanup to 48% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Leanup to 55% Members
Batter - Hits × 6 props Highup to 61% Members
Batter - Walks × 2 props Highup to 69% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 66% Members
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Long-shotup to 21% Members
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Leanup to 59% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros last met on Wed 30 Sep 2026: Chicago White Sox won 7-3. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings
Over
0.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 72,711+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal Runs - 1st 1 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Houston AstrosSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut
  • Luis Castillo SPOut
  • Joey Bart COut

Houston Astros

  • Joey Loperfido LFOut
  • Cristian Javier SPOut
  • Brice Matthews CFOut
  • Mike Burrows SPOut
  • Jake Meyers CFOut
  • Carlos Correa SSOut
  • Brandon Walter SPOut
Availability updated Oct 29, 8:16PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 15 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability15 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Sam Antonacci Batter - RBIs
Taylor Trammell SEA Batter - Singles
Kyle Teel Batter - RBIs
Sam Antonacci Batter - Total Bases
Colson Montgomery Batter - RBIs

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineHouston AstrosNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L53-2

Houston Astros moneyline form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Run LineHouston Astros run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L53-2

Houston Astros spread form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Houston Astros vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

Houston Astros total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsHouston Astros team totalNo line posted
6.1runs we expect
L5 RF7.4L5 RA3.8Home L51-4vs Chicago White Sox L53-2

Houston Astros team total runs form: last five 3-2, 7.4 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros — recent results

Houston Astros have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

Houston Astros — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–7CHWHome
L3–6CHWHome
W13–2ATHAway
W9–0ATHAway
L5–6ATHAway
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L0–2CLEAway
L5–9CLEHome
L3–9CLEHome
W4–3CLEAway
W3–0CLEAway

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Houston Astros won 5, Chicago White Sox won 4.

DateHouston AstrosChicago White SoxWinner
Sep 3037Chicago White Sox
Sep 2936Chicago White Sox
Sep 320Houston Astros
Sep 362Houston Astros
Sep 215Chicago White Sox
Sep 163Houston Astros
Jul 26312Chicago White Sox
Jul 2541Houston Astros
Jul 2495Houston Astros

Who’s out or in doubt

15 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Houston Astros
PlayerStatus
Joey Loperfido LFOUT
Cristian Javier SPOUT
Brice Matthews CFOUT
Mike Burrows SPOUT
Jake Meyers CFOUT
Carlos Correa SSOUT
Brandon Walter SPOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Brooks Baldwin LFOUT
Luis Castillo SPOUT
Joey Bart COUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros — model preview

Our Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros prediction for October 1, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On October 1, 2026 our model has run Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Taylor Trammell (SEA) Under 0.5 Singles (-294), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Astros, or as Astros vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Wednesday 30 September 2026 at Minute Maid Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros: game facts

Past meetings and recent results

Where they last met

  • 30 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox beat Houston Astros 7-3 on the road
  • 29 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox beat Houston Astros 6-3 on the road
  • 3 Sep 2026Houston Astros beat Chicago White Sox 6-2 at home

Chicago White Sox: last 5 results

  1. 10 Oct 2026Lostat Cleveland Guardians 0-2
  2. 8 Oct 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 5-9
  3. 7 Oct 2026Lostvs Cleveland Guardians 3-9
  4. 5 Oct 2026Wonat Cleveland Guardians 4-3
  5. 3 Oct 2026Wonat Cleveland Guardians 3-0

Houston Astros: last 5 results

  1. 30 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-7
  2. 29 Sep 2026Lostvs Chicago White Sox 3-6
  3. 27 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 9-0
  4. 26 Sep 2026Wonat Athletics 13-2
  5. 25 Sep 2026Lostat Athletics 5-6

Quick answers

Who won the last Houston Astros vs Chicago White Sox game? Chicago White Sox won their last meeting 7-3 on 30 September 2026.

How have Chicago White Sox and Houston Astros done lately? Chicago White Sox won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold. Houston Astros won 2 and lost 3 of the last 5 results we hold.

From the final scores we hold. Newest game first.

Chicago White Sox vs Houston Astros head-to-head record

Final scores · 28 meetings on record
Houston Astros 15–13 across the last 28 meetings · these games average 7.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Wed 30 Sep 2026, Chicago White Sox at Houston Astros: the White Sox won 7-3.

DateGameScoreWinner
30 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros3–7Chicago White Sox
29 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros3–6Chicago White Sox
3 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros6–2Houston Astros
2 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros1–5Chicago White Sox
1 Sep 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros1–5Chicago White Sox
31 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros6–3Houston Astros
26 Jul 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox12–3Chicago White Sox
25 Jul 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox1–4Houston Astros
24 Jul 2026Houston Astros @ Chicago White Sox5–9Houston Astros
12 Jun 2025Chicago White Sox @ Houston Astros4–3Houston Astros

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 28 meetings on file.

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