Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Joey Loperfido is Over 1.5 on Batter - Strikeouts.
On Batter - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 28 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 28%, implied 26%, edge +2.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 17, 3:02PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Strikeouts
Over 1.5
+286 (3.86) · $100→$386
+2.4% Edge
Kansas City Royals
@
Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Thu 17 Sep, 11:15PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 88 of 190 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
28 in 100
Predicted
1.1 Batter - Strikeouts
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 28.3% · the book's price implies 25.9% · gap +2.4%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Strikeouts | 28.3% | — | 25.9% | 3.53 | +2.4% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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Joey Loperfido (TOR) Over 1.5 Strikeouts (+286)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Houston Astros play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Joey Loperfido (TOR) Over 1.5 Strikeouts (+286). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $38.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Joey Loperfido's lines for Thu 17 Sep
Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.
Batter Strikeouts 1.5
Joey Loperfido's batter strikeouts line is 1.5.
Batter Stolen Bases 0.5
Joey Loperfido's batter stolen bases line is 0.5.
Batter Singles 0.5
+108 best over price · 2 books
Joey Loperfido's batter singles line is 0.5, best over price +108 across 2 books.
Batter Runs Scored 0.5
Joey Loperfido's batter runs scored line is 0.5.
Batter RBIs 0.5
+208 best over price · 2 books
Joey Loperfido's batter rbis line is 0.5, best over price +208 across 2 books.
Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5
Joey Loperfido's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 1.5.
Batter Hits 0.5
-179 best over price · 3 books
Joey Loperfido's batter hits line is 0.5, best over price -179 across 3 books.
Batter Doubles 0.5
+388 best over price · 2 books
Joey Loperfido's batter doubles line is 0.5, best over price +388 across 2 books.
Hit-rate ladder: Total Bases
Joey Loperfido has gone over 1.5 total bases in 20% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o1.520%
o2.520%
o3.520%
o4.50%
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Joey Loperfido (TOR) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Joey Loperfido is Over 1.5 on Batter - Strikeouts. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.4% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Houston Astros on Thursday 17 September at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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