Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Hunter Brown is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs.
On the Pitcher - Earned Runs market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 44%, for a model edge of +26.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:13PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Pitcher - Earned Runs
Under 1.5
+127 (2.27) · $100→$227
+26.7% Edge
Toronto Blue Jays
@
Houston Astros
Minute Maid Park, Houston, Texas · Indoor
Wed 5 Aug, 6:10PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
44.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Pitcher - Earned Runs | 70.7% | — | 44.1% | 1.41 | +26.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Hunter Brown (HOU) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+127)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Houston Astros play Toronto Blue Jays in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Hunter Brown (HOU) Under 1.5 Earned Runs (+127). That is a Earned Runs bet. It was priced at +127 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formPitcher - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 3.580%
O 4.560%
O 5.560%
O 6.550%
O 7.530%
O 8.510%
Hunter Brown MLB strikeouts: cleared over 3.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - Hits AllowedSeason & recent formNo line posted O 2.570%
O 3.560%
O 4.530%
O 5.510%
O 6.510%
O 7.510%
Hunter Brown MLB hits allowed: cleared over 2.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - WalksSeason & recent formNo line posted Hunter Brown MLB walks: cleared over 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Pitcher - OutsSeason & recent formNo line posted 90%hit L10
18.6avg outs · L5
Streak7L2085%
Hunter Brown MLB outs: cleared over 17.5 in 90% of the last 10 games; averaging 18.6 outs over the last 5. Season and recent-form profile.
Hunter Brown (HOU) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Hunter Brown is Under 1.5 on Pitcher - Earned Runs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +26.7% on this pick. Their next game is Toronto Blue Jays vs Houston Astros on Wednesday 5 August at Minute Maid Park, Houston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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