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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Lucas Spence is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles.
On the Batter - Doubles market the model assigns a model win probability of 95%, versus the book's implied 88%, for a model edge of +7.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 30, 2:41AM UTC
MLB

Lucas Spence

MLB

+7.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Doubles Under 0.5 -714 (1.14)
+7.6% Edge
Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels
Angel Stadium, Anaheim, California · Outdoor
Thu 30 Jul, 1:38AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
95.3%
Implied Probability
87.7%
Model Edge
+7.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Doubles95.3%87.7%1.05+7.6%

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AI Analysis

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Lucas Spence (NA) Under 0.5 Doubles (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
29 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Under -227 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Runs Scored 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT
29 Jul 26 Houston Astros @ Los Angeles Angels Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -588 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Lucas Spence is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Lucas Spence is Under 0.5 on Batter - Doubles. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +7.6% on this pick. Their next game is Houston Astros vs Los Angeles Angels on Thursday 30 July at Angel Stadium, Anaheim. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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