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AFL

Maurice Rioli

Richmond

+0.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -125 (1.80)
+0.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
Model Probability
55.9%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
0.6 Goals

AI Analysis

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Maurice Rioli (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Maurice Rioli is a solid bet to snag a goal in the upcoming Richmond vs. Collingwood matchup. With a model predicting him to score 0.6 goals and an implied probability of 55.6%, Rioli's recent form supports this pick. In his last five home games, he has averaged 1 goal, showcasing consistent scoring ability. His involvement in the forward line is evident with 1.8 shots per game and 2.6 score involvements. Additionally, facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 0 goals in their last five encounters, Rioli will be motivated to improve this record. With an edge of 0.3%, the odds at 1.8 present value for Rioli to hit the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (6 picks) 33.3% (2/6)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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