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Maurice Rioli

Richmond

+0.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -125 (1.80)
+0.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
Model Probability
55.9%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
0.6 Goals

AI Analysis

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Maurice Rioli (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Maurice Rioli is a solid bet to snag a goal in the upcoming Richmond vs. Collingwood matchup. With a model predicting him to score 0.6 goals and an implied probability of 55.6%, Rioli's recent form supports this pick. In his last five home games, he has averaged 1 goal, showcasing consistent scoring ability. His involvement in the forward line is evident with 1.8 shots per game and 2.6 score involvements. Additionally, facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 0 goals in their last five encounters, Rioli will be motivated to improve this record. With an edge of 0.3%, the odds at 1.8 present value for Rioli to hit the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -125 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Maurice Rioli (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Maurice Rioli is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 27 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.