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The latest Bet Better model pick for Maurice Rioli is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On the Goals market the model assigns a model win probability of 56%, versus the book's implied 56%, for a model edge of +0.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 4:42PM UTC
AFL

Maurice Rioli

Richmond

+0.3% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -125 (1.80)
+0.3% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
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Model Probability
55.9%
Implied Probability
55.6%
Model Edge
+0.3%
Predicted Value
0.6 Goals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals55.9%—55.6%1.79+0.3%

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AI Analysis

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Maurice Rioli (Richmond) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-125)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Maurice Rioli is a solid bet to snag a goal in the upcoming Richmond vs. Collingwood matchup. With a model predicting him to score 0.6 goals and an implied probability of 55.6%, Rioli's recent form supports this pick. In his last five home games, he has averaged 1 goal, showcasing consistent scoring ability. His involvement in the forward line is evident with 1.8 shots per game and 2.6 score involvements. Additionally, facing Collingwood, against whom he has averaged 0 goals in their last five encounters, Rioli will be motivated to improve this record. With an edge of 0.3%, the odds at 1.8 present value for Rioli to hit the scoreboard.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.8avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.8 · hi 2 · lo 0
0010212011

Maurice Rioli has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

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About This Player

Maurice Rioli (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Maurice Rioli is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.3% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 27 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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