Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
AFL

Maurice Rioli

Richmond

Value call

Maurice Rioli (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 2.5 marks that pays $335 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LEAN
How often this wins
41 in 100
Predicted
2.1 marks
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 41.5% · the book's price implies 29.9% · gap +11.6%.

Latest Model PickFree
Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 7:45 PM AEST
Maurice Rioli
over 2.5 marks
Marks Over 2.5 +235 (3.35) · $100→$335
Value call
LEANWins about 41 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$33.50 Odds+235
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Maurice Rioli is Over 2.5 on Marks.
On Marks, our numbers say this bet wins about 41 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 41%, the price says 30%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:06PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Marks41.5%—29.9%2.41+11.6%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan ($29/wk) — less than one $50 bet · cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Maurice Rioli (Richmond) Over 2.5 player_marks_over (+235)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player in the Marks Over market, Maurice Rioli is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Geelong Cats. Despite playing away, Rioli has been a standout performer in his last five games, showcasing an average of 1.4 marks per game on the road, with a particular knack for impacting the game inside 50. Moreover, when facing off against the Cats, he elevates his game even further, averaging an impressive 4.7 marks against them recently. With a solid overall average of 1 mark per game in his last five outings, Rioli's ability to find space and impact contests makes him a prime candidate to snag over 2.5 marks in this game. Trust in Rioli to soar above the line and make his mark on the field.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Maurice Rioli averaged 9.4 disposals, 0.9 goals and 2.1 marks per game across 9 games in 2024.

9.4
Disposals
0.9
Goals
2.1
Marks
3.2
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Maurice Rioli recorded 9 disposals and 1 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS9124
11 May 24Western Bulldogs9102
5 May 24Fremantle8011
24 Apr 24Melbourne14274
14 Apr 24West Coast Eagles9141
7 Apr 24St Kilda8214
31 Mar 24Sydney Swans17026
14 Mar 24Carlton4115
9 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS7012
27 Aug 23Port Adelaide5012
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Marks 2.5 Over +235 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Marks 1.5 Over -133 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Marks — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Goals — — — Pending

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Maurice Rioli (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Maurice Rioli is Over 2.5 on Marks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +11.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 22 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 18+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.