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AFL

Jayden Short

Richmond

+18.6% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 21.5 -108 (1.93)
+18.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Model Probability
70.4%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+18.6%
Predicted Value
18.8 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Jayden Short (Richmond) Under 21.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Jayden Short hitting the under on 21.5 disposals against North Melbourne, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Over his last five away games, Short has averaged 21.8 disposals, just above the line. However, his recent form shows a slight dip in contested possessions at 3.2 and turnovers at 4.2 per game. Facing North Melbourne, he's averaged 20 disposals in his last five matchups, indicating a potential challenge. With an interception average of 4.2, Short might find himself more defensively focused. Couple this with his current hit rate of 4 out of 7 away games, and the under on disposals for Jayden Short looks like a smart play for this clash at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (5 picks) 80.0% (4/5)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals 21.5 Under -111 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 19.5 Over -120 ✓ HIT
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
23 May 25 Richmond Tigers @ Essendon Bombers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jayden Short (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 5 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 80.0% (4/5). The latest model pick for Jayden Short is Under 21.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.