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AFL

Seth Campbell

Richmond

+5.7% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -204 (1.49)
+5.7% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 4 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
72.9%
Implied Probability
67.1%
Model Edge
+5.7%
Predicted Value
13.5 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Seth Campbell (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-204)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Looking at Seth Campbell's recent form, it's clear he's been a midfield maestro, consistently racking up possessions like loose change in the couch cushions. In his last five home games, Campbell has been running the show, averaging a solid 14.2 disposals per outing. With a penchant for finding his teammates with pinpoint handballs and bombing it long with kicks, he's been a key cog in Richmond's engine room. Facing Port Adelaide, a team he's historically done well against with an average of 15.3 disposals in their last encounters, the stage is set for Campbell to shine. Add in his impressive disposal efficiency of 63.6% and the fact that he averages 14.4 disposals overall recently, and it's a no-brainer to back Campbell to surpass the 10.5 disposal line. This bet isn't a shot in the dark; it's as safe as houses.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 87.5% (7/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -204 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 9.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals 10.5 Over -192 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals Pending
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Goals Pending

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About This Player

Seth Campbell (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 87.5% (7/8). The latest model pick for Seth Campbell is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.7% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.