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The latest Bet Better model pick for Seth Campbell is Over 14.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +1.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 3:39PM UTC
AFL

Seth Campbell

Richmond

+1.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -263 (1.38) · $100→$138
+1.5% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
74.0%
Implied Probability
72.5%
Model Edge
+1.5%
Predicted Value
17.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals74.0%72.5%1.35+1.5%

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AI Analysis

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Seth Campbell (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-263)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Seth Campbell, the midfield maestro for the Richmond Tigers, is poised to shine in the upcoming clash against the Adelaide Crows at the Adelaide Oval. With an average of 15.2 disposals over his last five away games, Campbell has been a consistent ball magnet. His ability to find space and make an impact is undeniable, as evidenced by his impressive 72.4% disposal efficiency. Facing the Crows, against whom he has averaged 10.7 disposals in their recent encounters, Campbell is primed to surpass the 14.5 disposals line set by sportsbet. With a model prediction of 17.7 disposals and a 1.5% edge, the odds are in our favor. Back Campbell to continue his stellar form and rack up the possessions in style.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
10.5avg disposals recent
Season best19
Disposals last 10avg 10.5 · hi 19 · lo 4
9135419101561311

Seth Campbell has a disposals high of 19 in AFL.

GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
0.6avg goals recent
Season best2
Goals last 10avg 0.6 · hi 2 · lo 0
2100111000

Seth Campbell has a goals high of 2 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Seth Campbell (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Seth Campbell is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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