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AFL

Hugo Ralphsmith

Richmond

+0.1% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 10.5 -303 (1.33)
+0.1% Edge
Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 21 Mar, 2:15AM
Model Probability
75.3%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+0.1%
Predicted Value
13.9 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Hugo Ralphsmith (Richmond) Over 10.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to finding value in the disposals market for the Richmond Tigers' clash against the Gold Coast Suns, Hugo Ralphsmith stands out as a solid pick to surpass the 10.5 line. Over his last five home games, Ralphsmith has been a midfield maestro, averaging an impressive 13.2 disposals, comfortably exceeding the set line. His recent form against the Suns has been particularly encouraging, with an average of 14.3 disposals in their last five encounters. With a knack for finding the footy in contested situations and maintaining a high disposal efficiency around 70%, Ralphsmith is primed to thrive on his home turf at the MCG. Backed by his consistent performances and favorable matchups, Ralphsmith hitting over 10.5 disposals feels like a safe bet to snag some solid odds in this matchup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (3 picks) 100.0% (3/3)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 10.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals 10.5 Over -303 ✓ HIT
12 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Carlton Blues Disposals 9.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Hugo Ralphsmith (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 3 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (3/3). The latest model pick for Hugo Ralphsmith is Over 10.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.1% on this pick. Their next game is Gold Coast Suns vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 21 March at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.