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AFL

Jasper Alger

Richmond

Value call

Jasper Alger (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 0.5 goals that pays $146 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
1.0 goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 74.0% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap +5.5%.

Latest Model PickFree
Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 7:35 PM AEST
Jasper Alger
over 0.5 goals
Goals Over 0.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
Value call
HIGHWins about 74 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$14.60 Odds-217
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jasper Alger is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 74%, the price says 68%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:04PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

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MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals74.0%—68.5%1.35+5.5%

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AI Analysis

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Jasper Alger (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal in the AFL, Jasper Alger is the man to watch. With a hot streak of 3 consecutive games finding the big sticks, Alger is in prime scoring form. Over his last 5 away games, he's been a consistent threat in front of goal, averaging 1.4 goals per game with a solid goal accuracy of 60.0%. His involvement in the Tigers' forward line is undeniable, with an average of 3.2 score involvements and 1.2 marks inside 50 per away game. Facing Adelaide, against whom he averages 2 goals over the last 5 matchups, Alger's sharpshooting and scoring prowess make him a strong bet to hit the scoreboard. With his current form and history against the Crows, putting your money on Jasper Alger to score over 0.5 goals is a smart play for this clash at Adelaide Oval.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Jasper Alger - AFL Goals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jasper Alger (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jasper Alger is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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