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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jasper Alger is Over 0.5 on Goals.
On Goals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 69%, edge +4.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 19, 5:54AM UTC
AFL

Jasper Alger

Richmond

+4.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -227 (1.44) · $100→$144
+4.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
1.0 Goals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 74.0% · the book's price implies 69.4% · gap +4.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Goals74.0%69.4%1.35+4.6%

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AI Analysis

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Jasper Alger (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-227)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jasper Alger is locked in and ready to make waves in the upcoming clash between the Richmond Tigers and the Adelaide Crows. With a hot streak of 3 straight games hitting his goal mark away from home, Alger is proving to be a reliable offensive threat no matter where he plays. In his last 5 away games, Alger has been averaging an impressive 1.4 goals, showcasing his ability to find the big sticks consistently. His goal accuracy of 60% and a solid average of 1.6 shots at goal per game further underline his scoring potential. Facing the Adelaide Crows, against whom he has been averaging 2 goals in their recent matchups, Alger seems poised to snag at least one goal in this game. With his current form and historical performance against the Crows, backing Jasper Alger to score over 0.5 goals is a solid bet with a high probability of hitting paydirt.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
GoalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted

Jasper Alger - AFL Goals market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Goals 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -263 ✗ MISS
12 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Melbourne Demons Goals 0.5 Over -250 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jasper Alger (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jasper Alger is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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