SYSTEM STATUS: Online SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +665.7 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 76.4% over 30 days WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +445.4 units this season WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) WIN: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers (Los Angeles Angels -2.5 @ +350) TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Player Props hitting 79.2% over 30 days WIN: WON: Coco Gauff @ Karolina Muchova (Karolina Muchova @ -115) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146) TREND: HOT TREND: NBA Value hitting 76.5% over 30 days WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +781.3 units this season TREND: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.5% over 30 days SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +687.9 units this season SYSTEM: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +656.1 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +665.7 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 76.4% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 79.7% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +445.4 units this season RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +150) RESULT: WON: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers (Los Angeles Angels -2.5 @ +350) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Player Props hitting 79.2% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Coco Gauff @ Karolina Muchova (Karolina Muchova @ -115) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -3.5 @ +370) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -1.5 @ +146) 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: NBA Value hitting 76.5% over 30 days RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ San Diego Padres (San Diego Padres -2.5 @ +250) 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +781.3 units this season 0.0% EDGE: HOT TREND: MLB Value hitting 78.5% over 30 days 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: MLB Value is +687.9 units this season 0.0% EDGE: SYSTEM ALPHA: NBA Value is +656.1 units this season
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AFL

Jasper Alger

Richmond

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -250 (1.40)
+2.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Melbourne Demons
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 12 Jul, 5:15AM
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.0%
Implied Probability
71.4%
Model Edge
+2.6%
Predicted Value
1.0 Goals

AI Analysis

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Jasper Alger (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Jasper Alger is our man to watch in the upcoming clash between Melbourne and Richmond. With an impressive average of 1 goal per game over his last 5 matches, the stats paint a compelling picture for him to snag another one on the road. Despite being away, Alger has been on fire, boasting a solid goal accuracy of 40% and a hunger for shots at goal, averaging 1.2 per game. His involvement in the scoring plays has been consistent, with an average of 2.6 score involvements in his last 5 away games. With a current hit streak of 2 on the road and an impeccable 5/5 hit rate overall, Alger is poised to split the middle and bag us that crucial goal to secure the Over 0.5 in this highly anticipated showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

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About This Player

Jasper Alger (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jasper Alger is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Melbourne Demons on Sunday 12 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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