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AFL

Tim Taranto

Richmond

+19.4% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 25.5 -108 (1.93)
+19.4% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Model Probability
71.2%
Implied Probability
51.8%
Model Edge
+19.4%
Predicted Value
22.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tim Taranto (Richmond) Under 25.5 Disposals (-108)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Alright, let's dive into why the smart money is on Tim Taranto to go under 25.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between Richmond Tigers and North Melbourne Kangaroos. Taranto's recent form on the road suggests he's been hovering around the mark, averaging 25.4 disposals in his last five away games. Facing off against North Melbourne, where he has historically gathered 24 disposals on average, further supports this bet. Despite his overall solid performance, his kicks have dipped recently to 9.8 per game, hinting at potential limitations in his ball distribution. With a contested possessions average of 12.2 in away games and a recent trend of turnovers at 4.2, Taranto might face some challenges against a tough North Melbourne midfield. Considering these stats and the model's prediction of 22.7, there's a strong case for backing Taranto to go under the 25.5 disposal line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (8 picks) 37.5% (3/8)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Disposals 25.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 25.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 25.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals Pending
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Tim Taranto (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 8 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 37.5% (3/8). The latest model pick for Tim Taranto is Under 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.