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AFL

Tim Taranto

Richmond

+18.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Under 25.5 -112 (1.89)
+18.3% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 4 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
71.2%
Implied Probability
52.9%
Model Edge
+18.3%
Predicted Value
22.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Tim Taranto (Richmond) Under 25.5 Disposals (-112)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Folks, when it comes to Tim Taranto and the under on 25.5 disposals in the upcoming clash between the Tigers and Power, the numbers are speaking volumes. Taranto, a solid performer, has been averaging 25.8 disposals over his last 5 home games, but against Port Adelaide, he's been slightly below that mark at 24.7 disposals. His recent contested possessions sit at 11 per game, showing a bit of a dip in impact. Plus, his turnovers have been consistent at 5 per game. With an average of 10.4 kicks and 15.4 handballs at home, he might struggle to hit that 25.5 line. Considering his 18.3% model edge on the under, the smart play seems to be backing Taranto to stay under that mark this weekend at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (7 picks) 28.6% (2/7)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 25.5 Under -112 ✓ HIT
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 25.5 Under -115 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 26.5 Under -110 ✗ MISS
05 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals Pending
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Tim Taranto (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 7 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 28.6% (2/7). The latest model pick for Tim Taranto is Under 25.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +18.3% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.