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The latest Bet Better model pick for Tim Taranto is Over 9.5 on Handballs.
On Handballs, our numbers say this bet wins about 68 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 68%, implied 76%, edge +4.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 29, 1:15AM UTC
AFL

Tim Taranto

Richmond

+4.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Handballs Over 9.5 -323 (1.31) · $100→$131
+4.9% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats
GMHBA Stadium, Geelong, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 22 Aug, 9:45AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
81 in 100
Predicted
13.2 Handballs
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 81.3% · the book's price implies 76.3% · gap +4.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Handballs81.3%68.2%76.3%1.47+4.9%

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AI Analysis

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Tim Taranto (Richmond) Over 9.5 player_handballs_over (-323)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Tim Taranto to go over 9.5 handballs in the upcoming clash between the Tigers and the Cats, the numbers paint a clear picture. Taranto, known for his work rate and midfield prowess, is averaging a solid 13.2 handballs per game, a figure that sits comfortably above the set line. With a model edge of 4.9% and an implied probability of 76.3%, the odds are in our favor for Taranto to hit the mark. Playing away at GMHBA Stadium won't faze this seasoned player, as he's proven time and again his ability to find his teammates with precision. Trust in Taranto's form and consistency to snag those crucial handballs and help you secure a win on this prop bet.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Tim Taranto averaged 25.0 disposals, 0.4 goals and 3.5 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

25.0
Disposals
0.4
Goals
3.5
Marks
5.3
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Tim Taranto recorded 30 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS300814
18 Aug 24Hawthorn18014
11 Aug 24St Kilda25031
3 Aug 24North Melbourne27058
28 Jul 24Collingwood11022
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS27025
6 Jul 24Fremantle26137
30 Jun 24Carlton27122
15 Jun 24Hawthorn33165
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows26048
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Handballs 9.5 Over -323 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Goals 0.5 Over -111 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals 22.5 Over -156 ✓ HIT
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending
22 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Geelong Cats Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Tim Taranto (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Tim Taranto is Over 9.5 on Handballs. The model identifies a slight edge of +4.9% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Geelong Cats on Saturday 22 August at GMHBA Stadium, Geelong. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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