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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Kane McAuliffe is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 72 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 72%, implied 71%, edge +0.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 30, 11:36PM UTC
AFL

Kane McAuliffe

Richmond

+0.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 16.5 -250 (1.40) · $100→$140
+0.7% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
72 in 100
Predicted
19.4 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.1% · the book's price implies 71.4% · gap +0.7%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.1%71.4%1.39+0.7%

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AI Analysis

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Kane McAuliffe (Richmond) Over 16.5 Disposals (-250)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Kane McAuliffe, the unsung hero in Richmond's midfield, is poised to shine in the upcoming showdown against Adelaide. Over his last five away games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a solid 21.2 possessions per outing. Not only does he find the ball with ease, but his disposalefficiency sits at a respectable 67.8%. With a knack for generating forward momentum, his 403.2 metres gained on average showcase his ability to drive the Tigers' attacks. Facing Adelaide, a team where he averages 7 disposals alone, Kane is primed to exploit their defensive gaps and surpass the 16.5 disposals line comfortably. McAuliffe's recent form, coupled with his consistent output, makes him a smart bet to snag a healthy dose of possessions in this crucial clash.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Kane McAuliffe averaged 11.4 disposals, 0.0 goals and 0.9 marks per game across 9 games in 2024.

11.4
Disposals
0.0
Goals
0.9
Marks
2.8
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (6 Jul 24 vs Fremantle), Kane McAuliffe recorded 13 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
6 Jul 24Fremantle13043
30 Jun 24Carlton9002
15 Jun 24Hawthorn6010
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows7001
1 Jun 24Geelong Cats16004
25 May 24Essendon16025
18 May 24Brisbane Lions20005
14 Apr 24West Coast Eagles12012
7 Apr 24St Kilda4003
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 16.5 Over -250 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 15.5 Over -357 ✗ MISS
02 Aug 26 West Coast Eagles @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 16.5 Over -238 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 West Coast Eagles @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
04 Jul 26 Carlton Blues @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Kane McAuliffe (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Kane McAuliffe is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.7% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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