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The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Banks is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +5.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:35PM UTC
AFL

Sam Banks

Richmond

+5.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
+5.4% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
73.9%
Implied Probability
68.5%
Model Edge
+5.4%
Predicted Value
18.7 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.9%68.5%1.35+5.4%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Banks (Richmond) Over 15.5 Disposals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Sam Banks hitting the Over on 15.5 disposals in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Richmond Tigers clash, the numbers are painting a picture of consistency and reliability. Over his last five away games, Banks has been a midfield force, averaging 14 disposals with a solid disposal efficiency of 65.9%. His knack for finding the ball is evident with an average of 8.8 kicks and 5.2 handballs per game. Facing the Adelaide Crows, against whom he's averaged 25 disposals in their last five encounters, Banks is poised to shine. With an overall hit rate of 13 out of his last 16 games, including a current streak of hitting this mark twice, Banks seems primed to not just meet but exceed that 15.5 disposals line. Bet confidently on Banks to deliver in the contested possessions battle and help your ticket cash in.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
13.4avg disposals recent
Season best25
Disposals last 10avg 13.4 · hi 25 · lo 6
10661617151425169

Sam Banks has a disposals high of 25 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 15.5 Over -217 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 14.5 Over -323 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals 13.5 Over -500 ✗ MISS
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Sam Banks (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Banks is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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