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AFL

Sam Banks

Richmond

+19.8% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -147 (1.68)
+19.8% Edge
Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sun 27 Jul, 4:10AM
Model Probability
79.3%
Implied Probability
59.5%
Model Edge
+19.8%
Predicted Value
23.6 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Sam Banks (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-147)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Sam Banks is a solid bet for Over 19.5 disposals against Collingwood. With a model predicting him at 23.6 disposals (19.8% edge), his recent form is strong. Banks averages 23.8 disposals in his last 5 home games, surpassing the line 4 out of 5 times. His consistency is highlighted by a 4-game hit streak overall. Facing Collingwood, against whom he averages 15 disposals, Banks should thrive, especially with his average of 16.4 kicks and 7.4 handballs in home games. His recent form, efficiency, and ability to cover ground (573.4 metres gained average) make him a reliable choice to snag over 19.5 disposals at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 75.0% (3/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Jul 25 Collingwood Magpies @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 19.5 Over -147 ✗ MISS
19 Jul 25 Richmond Tigers @ West Coast Eagles Disposals 19.5 Over -200 ✓ HIT
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 19.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
29 Jun 25 Adelaide Crows @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sam Banks (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 75.0% (3/4). The latest model pick for Sam Banks is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.8% on this pick. Their next game is Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers on Sunday 27 July at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.