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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sam Banks is Over 15.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 74 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 74%, implied 68%, edge +5.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 12:16AM UTC
AFL

Sam Banks

Richmond

+5.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 15.5 -217 (1.46) · $100→$146
+5.4% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
74 in 100
Predicted
18.7 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 73.9% · the book's price implies 68.5% · gap +5.4%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals73.9%68.5%1.35+5.4%

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AI Analysis

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Sam Banks (Richmond) Over 15.5 Disposals (-217)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to Sam Banks hitting the Over on 15.5 disposals in the upcoming Adelaide Crows vs. Richmond Tigers clash, the numbers are painting a picture of consistency and reliability. Over his last five away games, Banks has been a midfield force, averaging 14 disposals with a solid disposal efficiency of 65.9%. His knack for finding the ball is evident with an average of 8.8 kicks and 5.2 handballs per game. Facing the Adelaide Crows, against whom he's averaged 25 disposals in their last five encounters, Banks is poised to shine. With an overall hit rate of 13 out of his last 16 games, including a current streak of hitting this mark twice, Banks seems primed to not just meet but exceed that 15.5 disposals line. Bet confidently on Banks to deliver in the contested possessions battle and help your ticket cash in.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Sam Banks averaged 12.0 disposals, 0.1 goals and 2.3 marks per game across 15 games in 2024.

12.0
Disposals
0.1
Goals
2.3
Marks
1.5
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Sam Banks recorded 9 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS9031
18 Aug 24Hawthorn16012
11 Aug 24St Kilda25070
3 Aug 24North Melbourne14033
28 Jul 24Collingwood15132
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide17002
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS16031
6 Jul 24Fremantle6011
30 Jun 24Carlton6010
11 May 24Western Bulldogs10012
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Sam Banks (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sam Banks is Over 15.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.4% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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