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The latest Bet Better model pick for Dion Prestia is Over 17.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 73 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 73%, implied 70%, edge +2.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 29, 2:48PM UTC
AFL

Dion Prestia

Richmond

+2.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 17.5 -233 (1.43) · $100→$143
+2.6% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows
Adelaide Oval, Adelaide, SA · Outdoor
Sat 8 Aug, 9:35AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: rain, 16°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
73 in 100
Predicted
20.5 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 72.5% · the book's price implies 69.9% · gap +2.6%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals72.5%—69.9%1.38+2.6%

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AI Analysis

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Dion Prestia (Richmond) Over 17.5 Disposals (-233)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dion Prestia, the Richmond Tigers' midfield maestro, is poised to dominate the possession battle against the Adelaide Crows. In his last five away games, Prestia has been a workhorse, averaging a solid 15.2 disposals, with a standout performance of 20.7 against this very opponent. With a knack for finding space and creating opportunities, his 57.7% disposal efficiency is a testament to his class on the ball. Additionally, his recent form boasts an impressive 8.2 kicks, 7 handballs, and 266.2 meters gained per game. Facing a Crows side he has historically performed well against, Prestia is primed to showcase his ball-winning prowess once more. Backing Prestia to surpass 17.5 disposals is a smart move given his recent stellar form and historical success against the Crows.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Dion Prestia averaged 22.0 disposals, 0.2 goals and 3.2 marks per game across 13 games in 2024.

22.0
Disposals
0.2
Goals
3.2
Marks
1.9
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Dion Prestia recorded 33 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS33080
18 Aug 24Hawthorn21032
11 Aug 24St Kilda20052
3 Aug 24North Melbourne29011
28 Jul 24Collingwood20143
20 Jul 24Port Adelaide24132
14 Jul 24GWS GIANTS27034
6 Jun 24Adelaide Crows14034
25 May 24Essendon27021
18 May 24Brisbane Lions23051
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 16.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 15.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
19 Jul 26 Hawthorn Hawks @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending
08 Aug 26 Richmond Tigers @ Adelaide Crows Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dion Prestia (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Dion Prestia is Over 17.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.6% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Adelaide Crows on Saturday 8 August at Adelaide Oval, Adelaide. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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