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AFL

Dion Prestia

Richmond

+3.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 14.5 -769 (1.13)
+3.3% Edge
Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 4 Apr, 5:15AM
Model Probability
91.8%
Implied Probability
88.5%
Model Edge
+3.3%
Predicted Value
21.4 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Dion Prestia (Richmond) Over 14.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Dion Prestia is the man to watch in this clash between the Richmond Tigers and Port Adelaide Power at the iconic MCG. Prestia has been a ball magnet in his last five home games, averaging a hefty 23.2 disposals, including a whopping 27 against this very opponent. With his impressive disposal efficiency at 72.0% and a solid recent hit rate, Prestia is set to make his mark. Add in his knack for contested possessions and ability to cover the ground with an average of 241.8 meters gained, and you have a player with all the tools to surpass the 14.5 disposal line comfortably. Prestia is in form, and the data points to him having a big game in front of the home crowd.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (15 picks) 73.3% (11/15)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 14.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 15.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 16.5 Over -357 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Disposals — — — Pending
28 Mar 26 Richmond Tigers @ Fremantle Dockers Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Dion Prestia (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 15 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 73.3% (11/15). The latest model pick for Dion Prestia is Over 14.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.3% on this pick. Their next game is Port Adelaide Power vs Richmond Tigers on Saturday 4 April at MCG, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.