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AFL

Dion Prestia

Richmond

+4.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -303 (1.33)
+4.5% Edge
St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers
MCG, Melbourne
Sat 9 Aug, 3:20AM
Model Probability
79.7%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+4.5%
Predicted Value
23.7 Disposals

AI Analysis

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Dion Prestia (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Dion Prestia is poised to shine in this matchup against St Kilda, especially given his recent form. With a solid average of 26.8 disposals in his last five home games and facing an opponent he typically performs well against, averaging 22.5 disposals in their recent encounters, Prestia is in a prime position to surpass the 19.5 disposal line. His impressive 70.9% disposal efficiency and ability to gain significant metres (326 average) further support this bet. With a current hit streak of 3 at home and 6 overall, Prestia's consistency and form make him a strong choice for exceeding the expected disposals in this game at the MCG.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (50 picks) 84.0% (42/50)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 19.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Disposals 19.5 Over -333 ✗ MISS
09 Aug 25 St Kilda Saints @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending
12 Jul 25 Essendon Bombers @ Richmond Tigers Disposals Pending

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