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AFL

Mykelti Lefau

Richmond

+2.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Goals Over 0.5 -370 (1.27)
+2.5% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Model Probability
81.3%
Implied Probability
78.7%
Model Edge
+2.5%
Predicted Value
1.2 Goals

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Mykelti Lefau (Richmond) Over 0.5 Goals (-370)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player to snag a goal, Mykelti Lefau is the man to watch in the upcoming clash between the Richmond Tigers and the North Melbourne Kangaroos. Lefau has been on fire lately, averaging an impressive 2 goals per game over his last 5 away matches. His sharpshooting accuracy, sitting at a solid 62%, coupled with his knack for getting involved in scoring plays with 3.6 score involvements per game, make him a genuine goal-scoring threat. With a recent hit rate of 4 goals in his last 5 away games and a current hit streak of 1, Lefau is in prime form to split the middle and secure us a winner on the Over 0.5 goals prop bet. Marvel Stadium in Melbourne is set to witness Lefau's scoring prowess firsthand, and the data suggests he's primed to deliver. Backing Lefau to notch up at least one goal seems like a smart play given his recent form and scoring instincts.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (4 picks) 50.0% (2/4)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Goals 0.5 Over -370 ✗ MISS
12 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ Greater Western Sydney Giants Goals 0.5 Over -185 ✓ HIT
04 Apr 26 Port Adelaide Power @ Richmond Tigers Goals 0.5 Over -278 ✗ MISS
21 Mar 26 Gold Coast Suns @ Richmond Tigers Goals Pending

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About This Player

Mykelti Lefau (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. Across 4 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 50.0% (2/4). The latest model pick for Mykelti Lefau is Over 0.5 on Goals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.5% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.