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AFL

Jack Ross

Richmond

Value call

Jack Ross (Richmond) has one live pick today: over 16.5 disposals that pays $113 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
91 in 100
Predicted
23.0 disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 90.6% · the book's price implies 88.5% · gap +2.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 7:40 PM AEST
Jack Ross
over 16.5 disposals
Disposals Over 16.5 -769 (1.13) · $100→$113
Value call
HIGHWins about 91 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$11.30 Odds-769
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Ross is Over 16.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 91%, the price says 88%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 26, 4:01PM UTC
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals90.6%—88.5%1.10+2.1%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 16.5 Disposals (-769)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing a player prop bet, Jack Ross is a prime target for exceeding 16.5 disposals against the Western Bulldogs. In his last 5 away games, Ross has been a midfield maestro, averaging a stellar 24 disposals, with a standout contested possession rate of 13.4. His disposal efficiency at 76.5% showcases his ability to make quality touches, while his knack for gaining meters (346.4 on average) keeps the Tigers on the front foot. Ross has been a model of consistency, notably averaging 17 disposals in his last 5 matchups against the Bulldogs. With his current hot streak of 11 consecutive successful outings on the road, betting on Ross to continue his impressive form is a smart play for footy punters looking to snag a win in this AFL showdown at Marvel Stadium.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

Season averages (2024)

Jack Ross averaged 18.1 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.

18.1
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.7
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jack Ross recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS14053
18 Aug 24Hawthorn19044
7 Apr 24St Kilda24041
31 Mar 24Sydney Swans17023
24 Mar 24Port Adelaide26160
14 Mar 24Carlton17031
9 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS10020
27 Aug 23Port Adelaide16035
19 Aug 23North Melbourne23041
13 Aug 23St Kilda18033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 19.5 Over -286 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 18.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jack Ross (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Ross is Over 16.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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