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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Ross is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 75%, for a model edge of +0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 8:21PM UTC
AFL

Jack Ross

Richmond

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.9% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
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Model Probability
76.1%
Implied Probability
75.2%
Model Edge
+0.9%
Predicted Value
23.0 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.1%75.2%1.31+0.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Jack Ross to go over 19.5 disposals in the upcoming clash against the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, the numbers are painting a clear picture. Over his last five away games, Ross has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 24 disposals per outing. His recent form shows he's hitting his stride, with an impressive disposal efficiency of 76.5% and a knack for generating meters gained, averaging 346.4 in his last five on the road. Facing the Bulldogs, Ross has historically stepped up, averaging 17 disposals in their matchups. With a current hit streak of four out of five away games exceeding the 19.5 mark, and a consistent overall hit rate, backing Ross to shine in the contested possessions battle is a smart play. Expect Ross to be in the thick of the action, driving the Tigers forward and racking up the touches needed to surpass the 19.5 disposals line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
18.4avg disposals recent
Season best27
Disposals last 10avg 18.4 · hi 26 · lo 10
18231610172617241914

Jack Ross has a disposals high of 27 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 19.5 Over -303 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 18.5 Over -400 ✗ MISS
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals Pending
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jack Ross (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Ross is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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