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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Ross is Over 18.5 on Disposals.
On the Disposals market the model assigns a model win probability of 71%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +6.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 2:28PM UTC
AFL

Jack Ross

Richmond

+6.7% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 18.5 -179 (1.56)
+6.7% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sun 19 Apr, 3:10AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
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Model Probability
70.8%
Implied Probability
64.1%
Model Edge
+6.7%
Predicted Value
21.2 Disposals

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals70.8%—64.1%1.41+6.7%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 18.5 Disposals (-179)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When looking at Jack Ross' recent form, it's clear he's hitting his stride away from home. Over his last five away games, he's been a disposal machine, averaging a solid 21.4 disposals per game. Ross isn't just racking up numbers; his disposal efficiency sits at a respectable 75.6%. Against this week's opponents, North Melbourne, he's maintained an average of 19 disposals in away matches and 21 overall. With an impressive hit rate of 6/6 in his recent away games, and a current hit streak of 6, Ross seems primed to continue his strong performance. So, backing him to surpass 18.5 disposals against the Kangaroos is a smart play given his consistency and form.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 4(75%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
DisposalsSeason form & hit rateNo line posted
18.4avg disposals recent
Season best27
Disposals last 10avg 18.4 · hi 26 · lo 10
18231610172617241914

Jack Ross has a disposals high of 27 in AFL.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 18.5 Over -179 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 17.5 Over -263 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals 16.5 Over -400 ✓ HIT
19 Apr 26 Richmond Tigers @ North Melbourne Kangaroos Disposals — — — Pending

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About This Player

Jack Ross (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Ross is Over 18.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +6.7% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs North Melbourne Kangaroos on Sunday 19 April at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

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