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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jack Ross is Over 19.5 on Disposals.
On Disposals, our numbers say this bet wins about 76 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 76%, implied 75%, edge +0.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current AFL schedule.
Model updated Aug 31, 2:29AM UTC
AFL

Jack Ross

Richmond

+0.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Disposals Over 19.5 -303 (1.33) · $100→$133
+0.9% Edge
Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs
Marvel Stadium, Melbourne, VIC · Outdoor
Sat 25 Jul, 9:40AM
Availability not tracked for this sport
Injury/availability data is currently collected for MLB, NBA, NHL, NFL, WNBA and NCAAF only.
Conditions context — last recorded match conditions for this player: mostly sunny, 18°C (Aug 2023). Descriptive context only.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
76 in 100
Predicted
23.0 Disposals
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 76.1% · the book's price implies 75.2% · gap +0.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Disposals76.1%75.2%1.31+0.9%

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AI Analysis

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Jack Ross (Richmond) Over 19.5 Disposals (-303)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

When it comes to backing Jack Ross to go over 19.5 disposals in the upcoming clash against the Western Bulldogs at Marvel Stadium, the numbers are painting a clear picture. Over his last five away games, Ross has been a midfield maestro, averaging a solid 24 disposals per outing. His recent form shows he's hitting his stride, with an impressive disposal efficiency of 76.5% and a knack for generating meters gained, averaging 346.4 in his last five on the road. Facing the Bulldogs, Ross has historically stepped up, averaging 17 disposals in their matchups. With a current hit streak of four out of five away games exceeding the 19.5 mark, and a consistent overall hit rate, backing Ross to shine in the contested possessions battle is a smart play. Expect Ross to be in the thick of the action, driving the Tigers forward and racking up the touches needed to surpass the 19.5 disposals line.

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Pick History & Track Record

Season averages (2024)

Jack Ross averaged 18.1 disposals, 0.1 goals and 3.7 marks per game across 7 games in 2024.

18.1
Disposals
0.1
Goals
3.7
Marks
1.7
Tackles

Recent game log

In his most recent game (24 Aug 24 vs Gold Coast SUNS), Jack Ross recorded 14 disposals and 0 goals.

DateOppDispGoalsMarksTackles
24 Aug 24Gold Coast SUNS14053
18 Aug 24Hawthorn19044
7 Apr 24St Kilda24041
31 Mar 24Sydney Swans17023
24 Mar 24Port Adelaide26160
14 Mar 24Carlton17031
9 Mar 24Gold Coast SUNS10020
27 Aug 23Port Adelaide16035
19 Aug 23North Melbourne23041
13 Aug 23St Kilda18033
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 17.5 Over -588 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals 16.5 Over -769 ✓ HIT
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending
25 Jul 26 Richmond Tigers @ Western Bulldogs Disposals Pending

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About This Player

Jack Ross (Richmond) is tracked by the Bet Better model for AFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jack Ross is Over 19.5 on Disposals. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.9% on this pick. Their next game is Richmond Tigers vs Western Bulldogs on Saturday 25 July at Marvel Stadium, Melbourne. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your AFL betting strategy.

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