Of our last 651 graded player prop tips, 52% got a better price than where the market closed.
NFL Player Props · Updated daily in season
NFL Player Props Today — Free Prop Bets for Every Game
NFL player props today: every prop bet on the board, priced and ranked best first. All 169 are below, 50 to a page. Top prop free.
The NFL prop lines are on the board
Books have priced 54 players across 9 prop markets for the 1 game ahead. These are the most widely priced lines right now — our model's ranked picks land here the day it has enough to say.
| Player | Market | Line | Best price | Books |
|---|
| Tory Horton | Receptions | 1.5 | +160 | 18 |
| Cooper Kupp | Receptions | 2.5 | +155 | 18 |
| Kalif Raymond | Receptions | 1.5 | +148 | 18 |
| D'Andre Swift | Receptions | 2.5 | +140 | 18 |
| Rome Odunze | Receptions | 2.5 | +135 | 18 |
| AJ Barner | Receptions | 2.5 | +130 | 18 |
| Colston Loveland | Receptions | 4.5 | +120 | 18 |
| Luther Burden III | Receptions | 4.5 | +120 | 18 |
| Jaxon Smith-Njigba | Receptions | 7.5 | +110 | 18 |
| Irv Charles | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Nick Kallerup | Anytime TD | — | +4000 | 14 |
| Jahdae Walker | Anytime TD | — | +2500 | 14 |
| Zavion Thomas | Anytime TD | — | +1500 | 14 |
| Eric Saubert | Anytime TD | — | +1300 | 14 |
| Sam Darnold | Anytime TD | — | +700 | 14 |
| Kalif Raymond | Anytime TD | — | +575 | 14 |
| Caleb Williams | Anytime TD | — | +500 | 14 |
| Tory Horton | Anytime TD | — | +420 | 14 |
Compare every book’s price on the live NFL odds board, screen hot streaks in the prop screener, or start with our free NFL pick.
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ML models
10k+
Sims per game
See verified results
169 props on the board, and the 3 strongest are free
The prop we'd back first · Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks
Zach Charbonnet Under 1.5 receptions -172
Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win67.9%
The price says63.7%
$50 returns$79.00
The rest of the boardfull reasoning on each prop below
| CHI v SEA |
Zach Charbonnet Under 1.5 receptions |
High68% chance |
-172 |
| CHI v SEA |
Kalif Raymond Over 1.5 receptions (alt) |
High82% chance |
-222 |
| CHI v SEA |
Rome Odunze Over 24.5 receiving yards (alt) |
High79% chance |
-270 |
| CHI v SEA |
Receptions (alt) |
Long-shot25% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Rushing yards (alt) |
Long-shot22% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Receiving yards |
Lean50% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Receiving yards (alt) |
High81% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Receiving yards (alt) |
Lean52% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Passing yards (alt) |
High74% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Rushing yards (alt) |
Lean48% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Rushing yards |
High61% chance |
Members |
| CHI v SEA |
Receiving yards (alt) |
High70% chance |
Members |
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
No props match that.
Try another game or market, or .
+150 best over price · 13 books
Chance to win:
67.9%
The price says 63.7%
Why we like it
Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Under 1.5 Receptions (-175)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Zach Charbonnet (SEA) Under 1.5 Receptions. It was priced at -175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
-227 best over price · 1 book
Chance to win:
82.2%
The price says 69.0%
Why we like it
Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-222)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Tuesday 3 November 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kalif Raymond (CHI) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate. It was priced at -222 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.50 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Chance to win:
79.2%
The price says 73.0%
Why we like it
Seattle Seahawks vs Chicago Bears: Rome Odunze Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (Alt) (-270)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Seattle Seahawks are home against the Chicago Bears, and it's a good spot for Rome Odunze to shine. The Seahawks' offense has been looking strong, and Odunze has been stepping up lately. With the Bears struggling on defense, there could be plenty of chances for him to rack up receiving yards.
Our numbers really like this bet, rating it as a strong favorite. The biggest risk here is that the teams are somewhat close in talent, which can lead to unexpected game plans. Still, with the way Odunze is playing and the matchup against the Bears, going over 24.5 yards seems promising.
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 6.6%
-114 best over price · 1 book
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 75.2%
-110 best over price · 7 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 51.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 70.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 47.2%
-108 best over price · 10 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 53.2%
-213 best over price · 1 book
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 69.4%
-108 best over price · 10 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 81.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 76.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 33.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 80.0%
-120 best over price · 3 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 68.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 63.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 82.6%
-118 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.9%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 65.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 82.0%
-110 best over price · 9 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 53.2%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 23.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 85.5%
-105 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.4%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 45.1%
-114 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.1%
-114 best over price · 4 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.1%
-115 best over price · 1 book
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.9%
-115 best over price · 1 book
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 52.9%
-130 best over price · 1 book
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 56.8%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 35.5%
+375 best over price · 14 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 22.7%
+140 best over price · 11 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 11.8%
+790 best over price · 13 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 7.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 69.4%
+140 best over price · 11 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 31.6%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 27.5%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 80.7%
+145 best over price · 1 book
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 39.4%
-161 best over price · 15 books
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Lean
The price says 41.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 87.7%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 87.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
High
The price says 87.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 5.3%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 17.0%
Which side the model backs, and why ·
Pro
Chance to win:
Long-shot
The price says 3.6%
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Quick answer
What is an NFL player prop bet?
An NFL player prop bet is a wager on a single player statistic, such as passing yards, receptions, or touchdowns.
It is settled independently of the game winner, which makes props useful when you want to target a specific role,
matchup, or usage trend rather than the final score.
Probability vs odds
Edge calculation
Bankroll discipline
| Market |
What it measures |
Typical intent |
| Passing yards | QB volume and efficiency | Matchup driven |
| Receptions | Target share and route role | Usage driven |
| Rushing yards | Carry volume and game script | Game flow driven |
| Anytime TD | Scoring opportunity | Red zone driven |
Why our props have an edge
20
ML Models
Our edge is built in house. Each model is trained and evaluated per league.
10k+
Simulations
Games are simulated at scale to estimate distributions and probabilities.
AI
Reasoning
Every pick pairs the model's chance and value call with plain-English AI analysis.
How we decide which NFL props are worth a look
Every price a sportsbook posts is really a guess about how often something happens. Our model makes its own guess from the player's recent games, his role, the defence he faces and the weather, then compares the two. When the model thinks something happens more often than the price says, that prop makes the board. The board shows every line, the best price across the books, and how often the player has cleared it lately, for free. Which side the model backs, and why, is for Pro members.
If you want the deeper framework, see our actuarial sports betting methodology.
Example in plain English
Say a receiver's line is 59.5 yards at a price that means "about a coin flip". If our model makes it closer to 6 chances in 10, that is a gap worth knowing about. A gap is not a guarantee. It is the thing we grade in public, week after week, so you can see whether the gaps were real.
Related NFL pages
Continue exploring:
NFL Picks,
NFL Picks,
NFL Parlays,
NFL Odds.
Click any team name on a prop card to view that team's full profile, upcoming pick, and player directory.
Click any player name to view their individual pick history, value calls, and AI analysis.
Transparency and responsible betting
Betting involves risk. Model outputs are informational and are not a guarantee of profit. Use consistent staking, avoid chasing losses, and only bet what you can afford to lose.
NFL prop guide
What NFL players
really average
An NFL player prop is a bet on what one player does in a game, like his passing yards or catches. Today's props are at the top of this page. Below is what players did across all 272 games of the 2025 regular season, so you can tell if a line looks high or low.
Per game2025 regular season
| Prop | Who we counted | Average |
|---|
| Passing yards | QBs with 15+ passes | 221.8 |
| Passing touchdowns | QBs with 15+ passes | 1.5 |
| Pass completions | QBs with 15+ passes | 20.3 |
| Pass attempts | QBs with 15+ passes | 31.5 |
| Rushing yards | Running backs with 10+ carries | 68.8 |
| Rushing attempts | Running backs with 10+ carries | 15.5 |
| Receptions | Wide receivers with 4+ targets | 4.3 |
| Receiving yards | Wide receivers with 4+ targets | 54.7 |
| Receptions | Tight ends with 4+ targets | 4.4 |
| Receiving yards | Tight ends with 4+ targets | 45.8 |
We counted only players who got real work that game, so backups do not drag the numbers down. A running back, receiver or tight end with 5 or more carries and targets scored a touchdown in about 1 game in 3 (771 of 2,234). Books also post interceptions, last touchdown scorer, and combos like rushing plus receiving yards.
How to read a prop
- 1Find the numberOver 249.5 passing yards wins at 250 or more. Under wins at 249 or less.
- 2Check the playerLeague averages are a start. Quarterbacks averaged 222 yards, yet 194 of 537 hit 250. See his own numbers on NFL stats.
- 3Check the gameLook at the defense he faces, injuries and the weather.
Prop questions
How many passing yards does an NFL quarterback average?
About 222 a game. That is every quarterback who threw 15 or more passes in a game in the 2025 regular season.
How often does an NFL player score a touchdown?
A running back, receiver or tight end with 5 or more carries and targets scored in about 1 game in 3 in 2025. Top scorers do it more often and role players less.
What does an alternate line mean?
It is the same stat with a different number and a different price. An easier number pays less. A harder number pays more.
What happens to a prop if the player does not play?
Most books cancel the bet and give your stake back. Rules differ from book to book, so check yours before you bet.
Check before you bet
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