Here are our NFL picks for Monday 7 September 2026. Our model likes 6 bets here. The one it likes most is Bryce Young (CAR) Under 227.5 Player pass rush yds, priced at -114 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Bryce Young (CAR) Under 227.5 Player pass rush yds (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Carolina Panthers play Chicago Bears in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Bryce Young (CAR) Under 227.5 Player pass rush yds. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Joe Burrow (CIN) Under 6.5 Rushing Yards (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Cincinnati Bengals play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Joe Burrow (CIN) Under 6.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Brenton Strange (JAX) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Jacksonville Jaguars play Cleveland Browns in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brenton Strange (JAX) Under 36.5 Receiving Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jameson Williams (DET) Over 3.5 Receptions (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Detroit Lions play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jameson Williams (DET) Over 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -147 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Joe Burrow (CIN) Under 6.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Cincinnati Bengals play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Joe Burrow (CIN) Under 6.5 Rushing Yards. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jameson Williams (DET) Over 3.5 Receptions (-149)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Detroit Lions play New Orleans Saints in the NFL on Sunday 13 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jameson Williams (DET) Over 3.5 Receptions. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is the model's read on today's NFL card. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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