Today's Top NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Tuesday 03/24 (Malik Monk Highlights): Smart Player Wagers

As the Nuggets roll into Phoenix, all eyes will be on Nikola Jokic, but we might want to temper our expectations for his combined rebounds and assists. While he's been a triple-double machine, facing the Suns on the road poses a unique challenge. In his last five away games, Jokic averaged 10.6 assists and 15.2 rebounds, but against Phoenix specifically, his numbers dip to an average of 9.8 assists and just 10 rebounds. That's a telling sign, considering he's hit the Under on this mark 12 out of his last 20 away games. With an expected stat value around 21.19, it feels like there's a solid case to back the Under 23.5. Let's not forget the Suns' defensive tenacity at home; they're known for limiting star players. In this matchup, Jokic might just find it harder to hit those lofty totals.

Paolo Banchero (Orlando Magic) Under 30.5 Points + Assists (-104)

As the Magic roll into Cleveland, Paolo Banchero faces a tough challenge against a Cavaliers squad that excels defensively. While he's shown flashes of brilliance, averaging 25 points and 5.4 assists over his last five games, the 30.5 mark feels a bit lofty here. In fact, on the road, Banchero's numbers dip slightly, with averages of 24.6 points and just 4.6 assists. The Cavaliers have a knack for stifling opposing players, particularly at home, which has led to a lower output from Banchero in their recent matchups. With his average against Cleveland sitting around 27.8 points, it's clear that the home team knows how to contain him. Given his hit rate of just two out of three for the Under in recent away games, betting on Banchero to fall short of that 30.5 line seems like a wise move. Expect a tough night for him against this formidable defense

Paolo Banchero (Orlando Magic) Under 33.5 Points + Rebounds (-118)

As the Orlando Magic head into Cleveland, all eyes will be on Paolo Banchero, but don't be surprised if he falls short of 33.5 points and rebounds combined. While Banchero has shown flashes of brilliance, his recent trends tell a different story. Over the last five games, he's averaged 25 points and 6.4 rebounds, which is a solid showing, but still shy of that lofty mark. On the road, those numbers dip slightly to 24.6 points and 8.2 rebounds. Against the Cavaliers, his averages are even more telling: 27.8 points and 7.8 rebounds. Sure, he's performed well historically, but Cleveland's defense is no joke. With only a 2 out of 3 hit rate in his last three games, it's worth considering the under here. Given the matchup and Banchero's recent form, expecting him to exceed 33.5 feels a bit ambitious.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-128)

Moussa Diabate is facing the Sacramento Kings tonight, and if history tells us anything, it's that he might struggle to hit that 12.5 mark in rebounds and assists combined. Over his last five games, Diabate has averaged a solid 9.4 rebounds and 2.6 assists, but at home, those numbers dip to 10.8 rebounds and just 1.8 assists. Against the Kings specifically, his track record shows a concerning trend: only 5 rebounds per game at home and virtually no assists. While he has cleared the threshold in three of his last five, his overall hit rate at home is a more telling 13 out of 20 games. With the Kings' defense tightening up, this matchup could very well see Diabate finishing under 12.5. Expect him to remain busy, but perhaps not productive enough to surpass that line.

Malik Monk (Sacramento Kings) Under 19.5 Points + Assists (-112)

As Malik Monk steps onto the court for the Kings against his former team, the Charlotte Hornets, expectations might run high, but history suggests a different narrative. Averaging just 10.8 points and 3 assists in his last five road games, Monk's performance away from home has been tepid at best. Even against the Hornets, he's posted a modest 13.5 points and 3 assists on the road. Looking at his last ten games, Monk has hit the under in seven of them, and with a solid 4-for-4 run on the road, there's every reason to believe he'll struggle to hit that 19.5 mark tonight. Given his recent numbers and the intensity of playing against familiar faces, we can anticipate a performance that falls short of expectations. Betting the under on Monk's points and assists seems not just reasonable, but wise.