Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Today's bet is live / One clear pick a day / Tracked in public — wins & losses / Free to start, no card
Model picks & player props
Minnesota Timberwolves
VS
New Orleans Pelicans

Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 11:18AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
3
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: New Orleans Pelicans (Moneyline)
For Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans (NBA), model win probability 54.7%, fair odds 1.83, book price +360, model edge +33.0%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Moneyline
New Orleans Pelicans
+ 2 more markets
Unlock with Pro
🔒

Unlock every graded pick for this game

See the full board for this matchup — every market, every line, every edge — plus every pick across the slate.

Bet Better Unlock all game picks
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
New Orleans PelicansMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
UnderTotal PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Unlock the full calibrated board

See the model's calibrated probability, fair odds and edge on every market in this matchup.

Bet Better Unlock calibrated edges
Cancel anytime · full verified record at /results

Who's out

Injuries & availability

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • Joan Beringer FDay-to-day
  • Donte DiVincenzo GOut

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Micah Peavy GDay-to-day
  • Karlo Matkovic FDay-to-day
  • Zion Williamson FDay-to-day
  • Dejounte Murray GDay-to-day
  • Trey Murphy III FDay-to-day
  • Yves Missi CDay-to-day
  • Bryce McGowens GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 19, 2:57AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 9 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability9 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsMinnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans PelicansNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans and Minnesota Timberwolves combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadNew Orleans Pelicans spreadNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) meet Minnesota Timberwolves; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineNew Orleans Pelicans to winNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans (season record) host or visit Minnesota Timberwolves; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)New Orleans Pelicans totalNo line posted

New Orleans Pelicans averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Minnesota Timberwolves; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Minnesota Timberwolves totalNo line posted

Minnesota Timberwolves averaged their season scoring ahead of facing New Orleans Pelicans; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Minnesota Timberwolves @ New Orleans Pelicans — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves : Minnesota Timberwolves Under 133.5 Team Total Points (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Minnesota Timberwolves Under 133.5' is a logical choice, considering the past performance of the Timberwolves. Over their last five games, they have averaged 117.4 points, which is significantly lower than the 133.5 total points threshold. Their scoring average reduces slightly further to 115.2 points when playing away from home. Furthermore, the model prediction suggests that they will only score 114.01 points in the upcoming game against the New Orleans Pelicans. This prediction strengthens the case for betting Under 133.5. In addition, their opponents, the Pelicans, have been restrictive, allowing just 110.2 points per game in Timberwolves' last five away games. Therefore, historical performance and predictive modeling indicate that the Timberwolves are unlikely to exceed the 133.5 points mark.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves : Under 257.5 Total Points (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on 'Under 257.5' for the Total Points market in the New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves game is driven by the recent scoring trends of both teams. Over their last five games, the Pelicans and Timberwolves have averaged 116.8 and 117.4 points respectively, well below the total points threshold of 257.5. Furthermore, when accounting for the performance of their opponents, the implied total points remain below the betting line. Looking specifically at the home and away settings, the Pelicans average 118.2 points at home while their visitors score an average of 113.4 points. On the road, the Timberwolves average 115.2 points and their hosts score 110.2 on average. These stats, combined with the model prediction of 229.22 total points, make a strong case for betting under 257.5 total points.

New Orleans Pelicans vs Minnesota Timberwolves : New Orleans Pelicans win (+360)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The New Orleans Pelicans have a strong chance of winning, due to their performance at home. Their overall home record in the last five games is 3-2, and they've won four out of the last five games played at home. Crucially, they have scored more points on average at home (118.2) than the Timberwolves have scored away (115.2), indicating a stronger offensive performance. Although their recent head-to-head record is less favorable (1-2), the betting model predicts a win for the Pelicans, with a considerable 33% edge. While both teams have similar records, the Pelicans' home advantage and offensive strength make them the better bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Minnesota Timberwolves vs New Orleans Pelicans in the NBA. The model has generated 3 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks