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NBA

Julian Champagnie

San Antonio Spurs

+11.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Pts + Rebs Under 16.5 -130 (1.77)
+11.5% Edge
San Antonio Spurs @ Los Angeles Clippers
Intuit Dome, Inglewood
Tue 17 Mar, 2:00AM
Model Probability
68.0%
Implied Probability
56.5%
Model Edge
+11.5%
Predicted Value
13.2 Pts + Rebs

AI Analysis

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Julian Champagnie (San Antonio Spurs) Under 16.5 Points + Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the San Antonio Spurs take on the Los Angeles Clippers, targeting Julian Champagnie for under 16.5 points and rebounds feels like a savvy play. Despite his potential, Champagnie has averaged just 11 points and 3.2 rebounds over his last five outings, with slightly better numbers on the road-11.6 points and 4.4 rebounds-but that still falls short of our threshold. Against the Clippers, his numbers dip even further; he's only managed 9.2 points against them historically, which translates to about 10 on the road. With a hit rate of just 13 out of 17 games for the under, it's clear that when the stakes are high, he often doesn't rise to the occasion. Plus, the Clippers' defense can be stifling, which only adds to the case for him staying below that 16.5 mark. Betting the under here feels like the right move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (10 picks) 100.0% (10/10)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -125 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 16.5 Under -130 ✓ HIT
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending
13 Mar 26 Denver Nuggets @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs Pending

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