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The latest Bet Better model pick for Julian Champagnie is Under 5.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 61%, versus the book's implied 47%, for a model edge of +13.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:17AM UTC
NBA

Julian Champagnie

San Antonio Spurs

+13.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 5.5 +111 (2.11)
+13.9% Edge
Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs
Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX · Indoor
Thu 9 Apr, 1:30AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Model Probability
61.3%
Implied Probability
47.4%
Model Edge
+13.9%
Predicted Value
4.8 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds61.3%—47.4%1.63+13.9%

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AI Analysis

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Julian Champagnie (San Antonio Spurs) Under 5.5 Rebounds (+111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Spurs host the Trail Blazers, keep an eye on Julian Champagnie's rebounding numbers. Despite averaging 6.6 boards over his last five games, a closer look reveals a trend leaning towards the under in this matchup. At home, he's pulling down about 6 rebounds, and against Portland specifically, that number dips to 5.6. With an expected stat value of just 4.8, it's clear that the 5.5 line feels a touch high. Historically, Champagnie has hit the under in 7 of his last 10 home games, and his overall hit rate in the past 16 contests stands at 56%. The Spurs have been shifting their style, which may limit his opportunities on the boards. With the odds suggesting a 47.4% chance of hitting the under, this could be a prime spot to back the under on Champagnie's rebounding total.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
90%hit · L10
2.9avg · last 10
L53.4Szn2.2Home2.1Away2.3Best6
1+84%
2+62%
3+39%
4+18%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.9 · hi 6 · lo 0
0352222364

Julian Champagnie is averaging 2.9 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.2, best 6). He clears 2+ in 62% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
12.3avg · last 10
L512.8Szn9.9Home9.8Away10.1Best30
5+84%
10+48%
15+21%
20+5%
Game log vs O 9.5avg 12.3 · hi 23 · lo 0
01119141576142314

Julian Champagnie is averaging 12.3 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.9, best 30). He clears 10+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
16.4avg · last 10
L517.0Szn13.8Home13.6Away14.0Best33
4+91%
9+77%
14+49%
19+24%
24+9%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 16.4 · hi 28 · lo 1
116231821109182820

Julian Champagnie is averaging 16.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.8, best 33). He clears 14+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
4.1avg · last 10
L54.2Szn3.9Home3.8Away3.9Best10
2+87%
4+56%
6+24%
8+4%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 4.1 · hi 6 · lo 1
1544633456

Julian Champagnie is averaging 4.1 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.9, best 10). He clears 4+ in 56% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Rebounds 5.5 Under +111 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 19.5 Under -123 ✓ HIT
09 Apr 26 Portland Trail Blazers @ San Antonio Spurs Pts + Rebs 18.5 Under -102 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Julian Champagnie (San Antonio Spurs) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Julian Champagnie is Under 5.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.9% on this pick. Their next game is Portland Trail Blazers vs San Antonio Spurs on Thursday 9 April at Frost Bank Center, San Antonio. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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