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The latest Bet Better model pick for Payton Pritchard is Over 13.5 on Points.
On the Points market the model assigns a model win probability of 76%, versus the book's implied 53%, for a model edge of +22.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:16AM UTC
NBA

Payton Pritchard

Boston Celtics

+22.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Points Over 13.5 -115 (1.87)
+22.6% Edge
Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics
TD Garden, Boston, MA · Indoor
Sun 19 Apr, 5:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
76.1%
Implied Probability
53.5%
Model Edge
+22.6%
Predicted Value
17.6 Points

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points76.1%—53.5%1.31+22.6%

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AI Analysis

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Payton Pritchard (Boston Celtics) Over 13.5 Points (-115)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Boston Celtics gear up to face the Philadelphia 76ers, all eyes should be on Payton Pritchard to eclipse the 13.5-point mark. Pritchard has been on fire lately, averaging 20 points in his last five home games. The energy of the TD Garden is likely to fuel him further as he takes on the 76ers, a matchup where he's been effective in the past, even if his recent history against them shows some dips.However, let's not overlook his overall performance; over his last ten games, he's exceeded this threshold in nine of them. With an expected stat value of 17.62, it's clear Pritchard is primed for a breakout game. The Celtics will need his scoring to combat the 76ers' defensive strategies, making this an opportune moment for him to shine. Bet on him to go over 13.5-it's a calculated move backed by solid recent form and

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
13.7avg · last 10
L513.4Szn14.0Home14.4Away13.6Best43
4+90%
9+71%
14+51%
19+34%
24+10%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 13.7 · hi 34 · lo 0
34191430101392312

Payton Pritchard is averaging 13.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 14.0, best 43). He clears 14+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
15.4avg · last 10
L514.4Szn17.3Home17.7Away16.8Best50
7+91%
12+67%
17+51%
22+37%
27+15%
Game log vs O 16.5avg 15.4 · hi 41 · lo 2
412214321114102512

Payton Pritchard is averaging 15.4 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.3, best 50). He clears 17+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
16.2avg · last 10
L516.0Szn17.7Home17.9Away17.4Best53
8+84%
13+65%
18+47%
23+30%
28+13%
Game log vs O 17.5avg 16.2 · hi 41 · lo 1
411917411316122712

Payton Pritchard is averaging 16.2 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 17.7, best 53). He clears 18+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
17.9avg · last 10
L517.0Szn20.9Home21.2Away20.6Best59
11+85%
16+65%
21+49%
26+34%
31+17%
Game log vs O 20.5avg 17.9 · hi 48 · lo 3
482217431417132912

Payton Pritchard is averaging 17.9 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 20.9, best 59). He clears 21+ in 49% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
2.5avg · last 10
L52.6Szn3.7Home3.5Away3.8Best14
2+80%
4+48%
6+24%
8+6%
Game log vs O 3.5avg 2.5 · hi 7 · lo 0
7031133340

Payton Pritchard is averaging 2.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.7, best 14). He clears 4+ in 48% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Points 13.5 Over -115 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 17.5 Over -108 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Pts + Rebs 16.5 Over -135 ✗ MISS
19 Apr 26 Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics Points — — — Pending

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About This Player

Payton Pritchard (Boston Celtics) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Payton Pritchard is Over 13.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia 76ers vs Boston Celtics on Sunday 19 April at TD Garden, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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