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Model picks & player props
Oklahoma City Thunder
VS
Memphis Grizzlies

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:12PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

NBA
4
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (Point Spread)
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies (NBA), model win probability 72.7%, fair odds 1.38, book price -106, model edge +21.2%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro.
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Game picks

+EV edge in green
Point Spread
Oklahoma City Thunder
-10.5
+ 3 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Oklahoma City ThunderPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderMoneylinePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTeam Total PointsPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Oklahoma City ThunderPoint SpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Otega Oweh GDay-to-day
  • Aday Mara CDay-to-day
  • Bennett Stirtz GDay-to-day
  • Ajay Mitchell GDay-to-day
  • Thomas Sorber CDay-to-day
  • Jalen Williams GDay-to-day
  • Nikola Topic GDay-to-day

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Walter Clayton Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Karim Lopez FDay-to-day
  • GG Jackson FDay-to-day
  • Richie Saunders GOut
  • Jaylen Wells FDay-to-day
  • Zach Edey CDay-to-day
  • Kentavious Caldwell-Pope GDay-to-day
  • Cam Spencer GDay-to-day
  • Scotty Pippen Jr. GDay-to-day
  • Ty Jerome GDay-to-day
Availability updated Jul 20, 1:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies: Weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

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Betting angles

Markets & form
Total PointsOklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis GrizzliesNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies and Oklahoma City Thunder combine for their season scoring; the game total posts pre-tip.

Point SpreadMemphis Grizzlies spreadNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) meet Oklahoma City Thunder; the spread and model cover probability refresh when the game is scheduled.

MoneylineMemphis Grizzlies to winNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies (season record) host or visit Oklahoma City Thunder; moneyline odds and win probability refresh when the season resumes.

Team Total (Home)Memphis Grizzlies totalNo line posted

Memphis Grizzlies averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Oklahoma City Thunder; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Team Total (Away)Oklahoma City Thunder totalNo line posted

Oklahoma City Thunder averaged their season scoring ahead of facing Memphis Grizzlies; team-total lines refresh pre-game.

Oklahoma City Thunder @ Memphis Grizzlies — model preview

<p>Expert analysis and top betting picks for Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, NBA parlay odds.</p>

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Oklahoma City Thunder Over 108.5 Team Total Points (-455)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on 'Oklahoma City Thunder Over 108.5' for the Team Total Points is a solid choice given the team's recent scoring trends. Despite a 2-3 record in the last five games, the Thunder's offensive output has been high, averaging 117.8 points across all games and 117 points in away games. This is significantly above the Outcome Point set at 108.5. Furthermore, the model prediction projects the Thunder to score 120.76 points, a clear indication that the team's scoring potential is being recognized. Combining the Thunder's robust scoring average with the model's high prediction, it becomes evident that betting over 108.5 total points is a statistically sound decision.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Oklahoma City Thunder win (-196)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

The bet on Oklahoma City Thunder (OKC) is a contrarian play against the model's prediction. Despite being the away team, OKC has a comparable performance to the Memphis Grizzlies in their last 5 games, with a minor difference in score (117.8 vs 118.8). Moreover, both teams have an equal record against each other (2-2) in their last 5 encounters, indicating that OKC can compete effectively against Memphis. The home advantage for Memphis may not be as significant as the model suggests, given that OKC's away score (117) is fairly close to Memphis's home score (124.6). This bet is a calculated risk relying on the statistical parity between the two teams and the potential for OKC to outperform the model's expectation.

Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder : Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5 (-106)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Betting on 'Oklahoma City Thunder -5.5' in the point spread market is a promising choice due to a variety of factors. Firstly, the model prediction of -13.1 suggests a strong advantage for the Thunder, exceeding the point spread of -5.5. Moreover, the Grizzlies have shown a weaker defensive performance at home, allowing an average of 113.2 points per game in their last 5 home games, compared to the Thunder's away average of 116.6. Additionally, the Thunder have been scoring higher on the road (117 points per game) than the Grizzlies have been at home (118.8 points per game). This combination of a potent Thunder offense and a struggling Grizzlies defense makes the Thunder a solid selection for this bet.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
0
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies in the NBA. The model has generated 4 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your NBA betting strategy for this matchup.

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