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The latest Bet Better model pick for Ty Jerome is Under 3.5 on Rebounds.
On the Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 70%, versus the book's implied 61%, for a model edge of +9.3%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Jul 21, 11:15AM UTC
NBA

Ty Jerome

Cleveland Cavaliers

+9.3% Edge
🔥 8 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
Rebounds Under 3.5 -154 (1.65)
+9.3% Edge
Memphis Grizzlies @ Philadelphia 76ers
Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia, PA · Indoor
Tue 10 Mar, 11:00PM
DAY-TO-DAY
Jerome (ankle) is out for Sunday's season finale against the Rockets.
updated Jun 16, 2:33PM UTC · 34d old
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Model Probability
69.9%
Implied Probability
60.6%
Model Edge
+9.3%
Predicted Value
2.2 Rebounds

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Rebounds69.9%60.6%1.43+9.3%

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AI Analysis

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Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers) Under 3.5 Rebounds (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Philadelphia 76ers and the Memphis Grizzlies, Ty Jerome's rebounding prop set at under 3.5 presents a compelling opportunity. Despite the fast-paced nature of the game, Jerome has averaged just 1.6 rebounds over his last five outings, and even at home, he's only managed 2 per game. His recent performances against similar competition suggest a ceiling around 2.8, well below our target. The Grizzlies, known for their physical play, have limited opponents to an average of just 2.3 rebounds per game when playing away. Jerome's hit rate is a perfect 8-for-8 in his last eight games for this prop, underscoring his struggle to consistently hit that 3.5 mark. With an expected stat value of 2.21 and an implied probability of 60.6%, the under here is not just a smart play; it's looking increasingly likely as the

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
3.8avg · last 10
L52.6Szn3.4Home3.2Away3.7Best11
1+91%
3+65%
5+32%
7+5%
Game log vs O 2.5avg 3.8 · hi 11 · lo 0
63011583002

Ty Jerome is averaging 3.8 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 3.4, best 11). He clears 3+ in 65% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
2.4avg · last 10
L51.6Szn2.5Home2.5Away2.5Best8
2+73%
4+27%
6+3%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.4 · hi 5 · lo 0
2533332120

Ty Jerome is averaging 2.4 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.5, best 8). He clears 2+ in 73% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
26 Feb 26 Golden State Warriors @ Memphis Grizzlies Assists 4.5 Under -172 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Ty Jerome (Cleveland Cavaliers) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Ty Jerome is currently on a 8-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Ty Jerome is Under 3.5 on Rebounds. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.3% on this pick. Their next game is Memphis Grizzlies vs Philadelphia 76ers on Tuesday 10 March at Wells Fargo Center, Philadelphia. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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