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The latest Bet Better model pick for Onyeka Okongwu is Under 2.5 on 3-Pointers.
On the 3-Pointers market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 43%, for a model edge of +34.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:59AM UTC
NBA

Onyeka Okongwu

Atlanta Hawks

+34.9% Edge
🔥 5 Consecutive Hits
Latest Model Pick
3-Pointers Under 2.5 +134 (2.34) · $100→$234
+34.9% Edge
Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks
Madison Square Garden, New York, NY · Indoor
Tue 21 Apr, 12:00AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.6%
Implied Probability
42.7%
Model Edge
+34.9%
Predicted Value
1.6 3-Pointers

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
3-Pointers77.6%—42.7%1.29+34.9%

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AI Analysis

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Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks) Under 2.5 Threes Made (+134)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks roll into Madison Square Garden, all eyes will be on Onyeka Okongwu. However, betting on him to hit more than 2.5 threes seems risky. While he's had a solid stretch lately, making 1.4 threes per game overall, that number dips to just 1.8 when he's on the road. Against the Knicks, his recent away performance has been particularly lackluster, averaging only 0.6 threes. New York's defense is no walk in the park, either. They know how to limit opponents' long-range shooting, and Okongwu could find himself challenged by their physical frontcourt. With an expected stat value of just 1.63 threes and a hit rate of 4/4 in his last away games, the under on 2.5 appears to be a smart play. Sometimes, less is more, especially when the stakes are high in this Eastern Conference showdown.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 2 of last 3(67%)

Betting angles

Markets & form
3-Pointers Made2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
1.4avg · last 10
L52.0Szn0.7Home0.7Away0.7Best4
1+45%
2+16%
3+7%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.4 · hi 4 · lo 0
1010241014

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 1.4 3-pointers made over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.7, best 4). He clears 1+ in 45% of 2024-25 games.

Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
80%hit · L10
2.4avg · last 10
L52.2Szn2.3Home2.3Away2.2Best7
2+66%
4+16%
6+5%
Game log vs O 1.5avg 2.4 · hi 4 · lo 1
3322342131

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 2.4 assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 2.3, best 7). He clears 2+ in 66% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
16.5avg · last 10
L517.4Szn13.5Home15.1Away12.1Best30
4+96%
9+75%
14+51%
19+20%
24+7%
Game log vs O 13.5avg 16.5 · hi 30 · lo 4
131220627301441128

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 16.5 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 13.5, best 30). He clears 14+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
18.9avg · last 10
L519.6Szn15.8Home17.4Away14.4Best35
6+96%
11+76%
16+47%
21+24%
26+9%
Game log vs O 15.5avg 18.9 · hi 34 · lo 5
161522830341651429

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 18.9 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 15.8, best 35). He clears 16+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
27.0avg · last 10
L529.0Szn22.5Home24.4Away20.9Best44
12+91%
17+68%
22+51%
27+30%
32+18%
Game log vs O 21.5avg 27 · hi 44 · lo 11
23183411394429122040

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 27.0 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 22.5, best 44). He clears 22+ in 51% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
29.4avg · last 10
L531.2Szn24.7Home26.7Away23.1Best48
15+86%
20+64%
25+47%
30+29%
35+17%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 29.4 · hi 48 · lo 13
26213613424831132341

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 29.4 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.7, best 48). He clears 25+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
70%hit · L10
10.5avg · last 10
L511.6Szn9.0Home9.3Away8.7Best21
5+89%
7+74%
9+53%
11+33%
13+17%
Game log vs O 8.5avg 10.5 · hi 15 · lo 5
1061451214158912

Onyeka Okongwu is averaging 10.5 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 9.0, best 21). He clears 9+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
21 Apr 26 Atlanta Hawks @ New York Knicks 3-Pointers 2.5 Under +134 ✓ HIT
27 Feb 26 Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks Assists 3.5 Under -175 ✓ HIT
20 Feb 26 Atlanta Hawks @ Philadelphia 76ers Pts + Rebs 21.5 Over -130 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Onyeka Okongwu (Atlanta Hawks) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. Onyeka Okongwu is currently on a 5-pick winning streak. The latest model pick for Onyeka Okongwu is Under 2.5 on 3-Pointers. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +34.9% on this pick. Their next game is Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks on Tuesday 21 April at Madison Square Garden, New York. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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