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The latest Bet Better model pick for Zion Williamson is Over 24.5 on Points + Rebounds.
On the Points + Rebounds market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 63%, for a model edge of +15.4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Aug 11, 6:58AM UTC
NBA

Zion Williamson

New Orleans Pelicans

+15.4% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Pts + Rebs Over 24.5 -167 (1.60) · $100→$160
+15.4% Edge
New Orleans Pelicans @ Detroit Pistons
Little Caesars Arena, Detroit, MI · Indoor
Thu 26 Mar, 11:00PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.9%
Implied Probability
62.5%
Model Edge
+15.4%
Predicted Value
29.8 Pts + Rebs

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Pts + Rebs77.9%—62.5%1.28+15.4%

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AI Analysis

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Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) Over 24.5 Points + Rebounds (-167)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New Orleans Pelicans head into Detroit, all eyes should be on Zion Williamson, especially when it comes to his points and rebounds total. With an impressive average of 31 points on the road against this Pistons squad, Zion has shown he can elevate his game away from home. He's been on fire lately, hitting the over on this prop in five consecutive away games, where he's averaging nearly 22 points and 6.4 rebounds. Against Detroit, he's not just a scorer; he's a force on the boards too, typically pulling down around 7.5 rebounds. With his recent form reflecting an expected stat value of nearly 30 combined points and rebounds, taking the over on 24.5 feels like a smart play. The stats tell a compelling story: Zion's ability to dominate in this matchup could easily see him surpass that mark once again.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Blocks2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
0.8avg · last 10
L50.6Szn0.9Home1.0Away0.8Best5
1+57%
2+23%
3+10%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.8 · hi 2 · lo 0
0201201020

Zion Williamson is averaging 0.8 blocks over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 0.9, best 5). He clears 1+ in 57% of 2024-25 games.

Points2024-25 · formNo line posted
24.7avg · last 10
L524.2Szn24.6Home25.3Away24.1Best43
15+90%
20+77%
25+47%
30+23%
35+7%
Game log vs O 24.5avg 24.7 · hi 37 · lo 18
18272437202022203029

Zion Williamson is averaging 24.7 points over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 24.6, best 43). He clears 25+ in 47% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
31.0avg · last 10
L530.4Szn29.9Home30.8Away29.2Best48
20+87%
25+70%
30+60%
35+23%
40+13%
Game log vs O 29.5avg 31 · hi 43 · lo 21
21383343232334253337

Zion Williamson is averaging 31.0 points + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 29.9, best 48). He clears 30+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Points + Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
50%hit · L10
31.4avg · last 10
L530.4Szn31.8Home33.4Away30.7Best51
22+90%
27+77%
32+53%
37+33%
42+7%
Game log vs O 31.5avg 31.4 · hi 41 · lo 22
24373041302232283634

Zion Williamson is averaging 31.4 points + rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 31.8, best 51). He clears 32+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Pts + Reb + Ast2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
37.7avg · last 10
L536.6Szn37.1Home39.0Away35.8Best56
27+83%
32+77%
37+60%
42+33%
47+17%
Game log vs O 36.5avg 37.7 · hi 48 · lo 25
27483947332544333942

Zion Williamson is averaging 37.7 pts + reb + ast over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 37.1, best 56). He clears 37+ in 60% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds2024-25 · formNo line posted
6.7avg · last 10
L56.2Szn7.2Home8.2Away6.6Best15
3+93%
5+83%
7+53%
9+30%
11+13%
Game log vs O 6.5avg 6.7 · hi 10 · lo 2
6106410210865

Zion Williamson is averaging 6.7 rebounds over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 7.2, best 15). He clears 7+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Rebounds + Assists2024-25 · formNo line posted
60%hit · L10
13.0avg · last 10
L512.4Szn12.5Home13.8Away11.7Best23
6+97%
9+87%
12+53%
15+30%
18+13%
Game log vs O 11.5avg 13 · hi 22 · lo 5
92115101352213913

Zion Williamson is averaging 13.0 rebounds + assists over his last 10 games (2024-25 avg 12.5, best 23). He clears 12+ in 53% of 2024-25 games.

Triple-Double2024-25 seasonNo line posted
6.7%triple-double rate · 2024-25

Zion Williamson recorded a triple-double in 6.7% of 2024-25 games (2 in the last 217 on record).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
07 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Phoenix Suns Pts + Rebs + Asts 30.5 Over -130 ✓ HIT
06 Mar 26 New Orleans Pelicans @ Sacramento Kings Pts + Asts 26.5 Over -125 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Zion Williamson (New Orleans Pelicans) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for Zion Williamson is Over 24.5 on Points + Rebounds. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +15.4% on this pick. Their next game is New Orleans Pelicans vs Detroit Pistons on Thursday 26 March at Little Caesars Arena, Detroit. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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