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LaMelo Ball

Charlotte Hornets

Value call

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) has one live pick today: under 24.5 points that pays $188 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
HIGH
How often this wins
78 in 100
Predicted
20.0 points
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 78.1% · the book's price implies 53.2% · gap +24.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic
Kia Center, Orlando, FL · Indoor
Fri 17 Apr, 7:30 PM ET
LaMelo Ball
under 24.5 points
Points Under 24.5 -114 (1.88) · $100→$188
Value call
HIGHWins about 78 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$18.80 Odds-114
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for LaMelo Ball is Under 24.5 on Points.
On Points, our numbers say this bet wins about 78 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 78%, the price says 53%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NBA schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 6:48AM UTC
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Points78.1%—53.2%1.28+24.9%

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AI Analysis

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LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 24.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As LaMelo Ball gears up to face the Orlando Magic, it's intriguing to consider taking the under on his points, set at 24.5. While he's been a scoring machine at home, averaging nearly 29.4 points over his last five games, the narrative shifts when he hits the road. Away from Charlotte, his scoring dips to about 24.2 points, and against the Magic, he's averaged just 19.4 points in their last few matchups. With a solid hit rate of 8 out of his last 12 games going under this number, there's reason to believe he might struggle to find his rhythm in Orlando. The Magic's defense can be stingy, and with Ball's expected stat value sitting around 20, it's a compelling case for betting the under. This game could see him distributing more than scoring, making 24.5 feel a bit optimistic given the context.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 10 of last 10(100%)

LaMelo Ball — 2024-25 season averages

Over 47 games in the 2024-25 season, LaMelo Ball averaged 25.2 points, 4.9 rebounds and 7.4 assists in 32.0 minutes per game, shooting 40.5% from the field and 33.9% from three-point range.

25.2
PPG
4.9
RPG
7.4
APG
1.1
SPG
0.3
BPG
32.0
MPG
40.5%
FG%
33.9%
3P%

LaMelo Ball — recent role

Across his last 5 games, LaMelo Ball has played 30.2 minutes per game and started 100% of them.

30.2
MPG (L5)
22.2
PPG (L5)
100%
Started

LaMelo Ball — points hit rate

LaMelo Ball has scored over 15.5 points in 56% of 122 career games.

o11.579%
o12.573%
o15.556%
o20.535%
o25.513%

LaMelo Ball — home vs away scoring

At home LaMelo Ball averages 25.7 points per game; on the road, 24.7. Worth checking against tonight's points line.

25.7
PPG at home
24.7
PPG on the road

LaMelo Ball — scoring by opponent

LaMelo Ball scores most against the MIL, averaging 29.3 points per game in that matchup.

29.3
MIL
27.6
BOS
24.1
WSH
22.5
ATL
22.0
ORL
20.2
DET

LaMelo Ball — last 10 games

Over his last 10 games, LaMelo Ball has averaged 21.7 points, 4.2 rebounds and 8.7 assists.

DateOppMinPtsRebAst
25 Marvs ORL292519
23 Mar@ MIA3418311
20 Marvs NY282558
16 Mar@ LAC311625
14 Mar@ SA2927315
12 Mar@ ATL302529
10 Mar@ MIA3615610
7 Marvs CLE231317
5 Marvs MIN3628106
3 Marvs GS342597
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Points 24.5 Under -114 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Asts 32.5 Under -120 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Points 23.5 Under -103 ✓ HIT
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending
17 Apr 26 Charlotte Hornets @ Orlando Magic Pts + Rebs + Asts — — — Pending

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About This Player

LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NBA player prop betting. The latest model pick for LaMelo Ball is Under 24.5 on Points. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +24.9% on this pick. Their next game is Charlotte Hornets vs Orlando Magic on Friday 17 April at Kia Center, Orlando. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NBA betting strategy.

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