Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the New York Knicks, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but a closer look at the numbers suggests that betting the under on his combined rebounds and assists makes a lot of sense. Currently sitting at 17.5, Johnson's recent performances show a trend that's hard to ignore. While he's averaged 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, his away numbers drop to just 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists. Against the Knicks specifically, historically, he's only managed about 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists when playing in New York. With his last four games yielding an impressive hit rate, the law of averages seems to favor the under here. Considering all this, it's clear that the under on Johnson's prop is a smart play in this matchup.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-127)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we gear up for the matchup between the Orlando Magic and the Charlotte Hornets, all eyes should be on Moussa Diabate's player prop for under 12.5 combined rebounds and assists. Despite his recent solid performances, Diabate's numbers tell a compelling story. Averaging just 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games, he's been hovering well below our target. Even more telling, when he hits the road, his production dips slightly, with averages of 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists.Against the Hornets, the numbers are equally revealing. He's averaged only 7 rebounds and a mere 1.2 assists in their last five meetings, showing a tendency to struggle against this specific opponent. Given that he's hit this under in three of his last four outings, it feels like this line is set a bit high. With the trends favoring the under, this might just be the right time to capitalize on Diab

Ayo Dosunmu (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Timberwolves gear up to face the Denver Nuggets, all eyes should be on Ayo Dosunmu. He's been on a scoring tear lately, averaging an impressive 19 points away from home over his last five games. When you couple that with his consistent rebounding-6 boards per game on the road-you can see why the Over on his combined points and rebounds at 14.5 is a tantalizing play.Dosunmu has hit this mark in each of his last 13 outings, a streak that's hard to ignore. The Timberwolves have also struggled to contain guards, and Dosunmu has a solid track record against them, averaging 12.8 points in their last matchups. With his current form and the way he's stepping up in away games, betting the Over feels like a smart move. Expect him to shine in this matchup and surpass that 14.5 mark effortlessly.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-118)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Lakers prepare to face the Houston Rockets, targeting LeBron James for under 34.5 points and assists feels like a savvy play. While LeBron is undoubtedly a force, he has averaged just 23 points and 9.2 assists over his last five games. At home, those numbers dip even further to about 19 points and 8.8 assists, suggesting a more subdued offensive output in front of the Staples Center crowd.Against the Rockets, he's been slightly more productive historically, averaging 20.2 points and 5.8 assists. However, in recent home matchups with Houston, he's managed just 26.6 points and 7.4 assists, numbers that still hover below our target. With an impressive hit rate of 11 out of the last 12 home games falling under this threshold, LeBron's recent form and the matchup dynamics paint a clear picture: the under is the smart money.

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 9.5 Points (-108)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Cavaliers prepare to host the Raptors, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill. The sharpshooter has been finding his groove lately, averaging 11 points at home over his last five games. Given that he's exceeded the 9.5 mark in 8 of his last 11 outings, Merrill is clearly in a rhythm.What's particularly intriguing is his recent performance against Toronto. While he averaged just under 6 points in their last few matchups, the Raptors' defense has shown vulnerabilities, especially against dynamic scorers. Playing at home, where the crowd can elevate his game, adds to the appeal. With an expected output of over 14 points based on recent form, it's hard to ignore this opportunity. Merrill is primed to capitalize on his chances, making the Over 9.5 points bet a solid play in this matchup.

Landry Shamet (New York Knicks) Over 4.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New York Knicks gear up to face the Atlanta Hawks, Landry Shamet is poised for a breakout performance. With a home hit rate of 10 out of his last 12 games, he thrives in Madison Square Garden, where he's averaged 6.2 points in recent outings. Interestingly, he's also found success against the Hawks, averaging 7 points at home in their last five clashes. Shamet's ability to score in double digits isn't just a fluke; he's hit the over on this prop 13 times in his last 17 games, showcasing his consistent scoring ability. With an expected stat value of nearly 9 points, taking the over on 4.5 feels like a no-brainer. Given the Knicks' offensive rhythm at home, Shamet should comfortably surpass this low threshold, making this bet not just a gamble, but a calculated move. Don't miss the chance to ride this momentum!

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