Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks head into Madison Square Garden, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but this matchup might not bode well for his production. While he's shown promise, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, those numbers dip when he hits the road. In fact, his away averages drop to a more modest 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists.The Knicks have a tenacious defense that could stifle Johnson's contributions. Against them, his recent stats suggest he might only muster around 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists-well below the 17.5 mark we're targeting. With a solid hit rate of 4 out of his last 4 games for the under, it seems like a smart play to bank on Johnson struggling to reach that combined total in such a challenging environment. In this case, the numbers tell a story of restraint rather than explosion.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, keep an eye on Moussa Diabate's rebounding numbers, particularly his projected total of under 10.5. While Diabate has shown some promise, averaging around 8.6 rebounds in his last five outings, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, he slips to an average of just 8 rebounds, which is a telling sign, especially against the Magic, where he's averaged only 7 boards in their recent clashes. What's more intriguing is his overall hit rate; he's only managed to exceed 10.5 rebounds once in his last six games, and he's hit the under in three straight away games. The Hornets' matchup against the Magic, who typically limit second-chance opportunities, only adds to the case for this prop bet. With an expected stat value of 7.88, it seems likely Diabate will fall short of that 10.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-132)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors gear up to face the Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green, but betting on him for over 6.5 assists could be a risky play. While he's averaged a solid 8 assists in his last five games overall, his numbers dip significantly when playing away, where he's only dished out 6.6 assists on average. Against Phoenix, Green's recent history is even less encouraging-averaging just 3.4 assists in their last five meetings. Considering the Warriors will be on the road, where Green has hit the under on this mark five out of his last seven games, it's tough to see him breaking that trend. With an expected stat value of only 4.6 assists, this feels like the right spot to fade Green. The Suns' defense will likely keep him from reaching that 6.5 threshold, making the under a strong play in this matchup.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the upcoming clash between the Lakers and Rockets, targeting LeBron James for under 34.5 combined points and assists feels like a savvy move. While LeBron is a legend, recent trends suggest he's been more of a facilitator than a scorer at home. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 19 points and 8.8 assists at Crypto.com Arena, which is a drop-off from his typical production. Against the Rockets, he's managed 26.6 points and 7.4 assists at home, but that's still below our threshold. With a remarkable hit rate of 11 out of his last 12 home games staying under this mark, it's clear he's been pacing himself. The Lakers are likely to dictate the tempo, allowing LeBron to distribute rather than dominate the score sheet. Given the context and those numbers, hitting the under on LeBron looks like a solid bet this Sunday.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-133)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, Moussa Diabate's prop bet for under 12.5 combined rebounds and assists stands out. While Diabate has shown flashes of potential, recent trends suggest he may struggle to reach that threshold in this matchup. Over his last five games, he's averaged 8.6 rebounds and a modest 3 assists, falling short of 12.5. Notably, his performance tends to dip when on the road, with averages of just 8 rebounds and 3.2 assists in away games. Against the Magic, his numbers are even less promising, with an average of only 7 rebounds and 1.2 assists in their last five encounters. With a hit rate of just 3 out of 4 in recent outings and a solid 4 out of 6 on the road, the under on Diabate's combined stats feels like a smart play as he navigates this challenging matchup.

Ayo Dosunmu (Minnesota Timberwolves) Over 14.5 Points + Rebounds (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ayo Dosunmu is primed to shine in his matchup against the Denver Nuggets, and here's why you should take the over on his points and rebounds at 14.5. First off, he's been on an absolute tear, hitting this mark in all of his last 13 games-a perfect streak that speaks volumes about his current form. Averaging nearly 18 points and 4 rebounds in his last five outings, Dosunmu elevates his game on the road, where he's racked up 19 points and 6 boards on average. Against the Timberwolves, his production has been steady, notably scoring around 13 points and grabbing roughly 3.5 boards in away games. With an expected stat value comfortably at 20.58, it's clear he's in a favorable spot to exceed that 14.5 line. As he continues to find his rhythm, I expect Dosunmu to deliver another strong performance on Saturday.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro