Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-101)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Hawks gear up to face the Knicks, targeting Jalen Johnson for under 17.5 combined rebounds and assists feels like a savvy play. Although he's been solid, averaging 11.2 rebounds and 5.2 assists over his last five games, his success tends to dwindle on the road. In away matchups, he's only managed about 10 rebounds and 7.4 assists, which drops significantly against New York. In fact, when looking at his recent performances against the Knicks, he's averaged just 9.8 rebounds and 6 assists away from home. That's well below our target. With a hit rate of only 3 out of his last 4 away games, it seems the bright lights of Madison Square Garden might dim his production. Considering these trends, it's reasonable to expect Johnson to stay under that 17.5 mark tonight.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-130)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets face off against the Orlando Magic, all eyes should be on Moussa Diabate's rebound numbers. While he's been solid recently, averaging nearly 8.6 rebounds over his last five games, his away performance tells a different story. On the road, he's averaging just 8 boards per game, and against the Magic, he's managed only 7 rebounds in their previous encounters. Despite his recent success, Diabate's hit rate for the under on 10.5 rebounds has been impressive, hitting it 5 out of 6 times overall, including a perfect 3-for-3 away. With an expected stat value of just 7.88 and the pressure of playing at Amway Center, it's reasonable to lean towards the under. The trends suggest he'll struggle to surpass that mark against a Magic team that can control the glass. Keep an eye on this one-it feels like a solid bet for the under.

Draymond Green (Golden State Warriors) Under 6.5 Assists (-130)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Warriors clash with the Suns, all eyes will be on Draymond Green's playmaking, but taking the under on his assists at 6.5 might just be the smarter move. Despite his ability to rack up assists-averaging 8 over his last five games-things look a bit different when he's on the road. His average dips to 6.6, and against Phoenix, he's been limited to just 3.4 assists per game lately. With the Suns' defensive scheme tightening up against playmakers, Green's chances of reaching that 6.5 mark seem slim. Plus, his recent performance shows only 2 out of 3 hits on this prop in the last three games, and he's only managed to go over that line in 2 of his last 7 away games. With these trends in mind, it's hard not to lean towards the under for Green in this one.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 34.5 Points + Assists (-114)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Lakers gear up to face the Rockets at home, targeting LeBron James for under 34.5 combined points and assists feels like a savvy move. Recently, LeBron has been solid but not dominant, averaging just 23 points and 9.2 assists over his last five games. Factor in that he's been even quieter at home, posting 19 points and 8.8 assists on average in that same stretch.Now, looking closer at his history against Houston, he's logged around 20.2 points and 5.8 assists recently, and those numbers dip to 26.6 and 7.4 when playing at home. With a striking 11 out of his last 12 home games hitting under this total, the trends are hard to ignore. Given the Rockets' defensive scheme and LeBron's recent form, it feels like a shrewd play to expect him to fall short of that 34.5 mark.

Moussa Diabate (Charlotte Hornets) Under 12.5 Rebounds + Assists (-137)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets gear up to face the Orlando Magic, Moussa Diabate's recent performance suggests a compelling case for betting the under on his combined rebounds and assists, set at 12.5. Diabate has averaged just 8.6 rebounds and 3 assists over his last five games, translating to a total of around 11.6. Away from home, he's seeing similar numbers - 8 boards and 3.2 assists - yet against the Magic, his production dips even further. His average against them in the last five matchups is just 7 rebounds and a mere 1.2 assists. With the stakes high and the Magic's defense tightening, it's likely Diabate struggles to find his rhythm. Given his recent hit rate of 75% on unders in his last four games and a solid 66.7% on the road, this prop has the makings of a smart play.

Sam Merrill (Cleveland Cavaliers) Over 9.5 Points (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Cleveland Cavaliers gear up to host the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Sam Merrill to surpass the 9.5-point mark. Merrill has been quietly heating up, averaging 11 points at home over his last five games. His scoring has shown a nice upward trend, especially in the friendly confines of Cleveland, where he's hit double digits in three of his last four contests. Against the Raptors, while he's averaged just 8 points historically, the context is key-he's been more effective recently, and the Cavaliers will lean on him to stretch the floor. With a robust overall hit rate of 8 out of his last 11 games, it's clear he's found his rhythm. Given an expected stat value of 14.27, this feels like a sweet spot for Merrill to shine. Look for him to capitalize on the home court advantage and clear that 9.5 threshold with relative ease.

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