Jalen Johnson (Atlanta Hawks) Under 17.5 Rebounds + Assists (-109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Atlanta Hawks gear up to face the Cleveland Cavaliers, all eyes will be on Jalen Johnson, but there's a compelling case to consider the Under on his combined rebounds and assists total of 17.5. While he's been a solid contributor at home, averaging 10.6 rebounds and 9 assists in his last five games at State Farm Arena, his numbers against this specific opponent tell a different story. Against Cleveland, his home averages dip to just 7.2 rebounds and 5.6 assists, well below our target. With two strong defensive bigs in the Cavs' lineup, Johnson's ability to rack up those stats could be stifled. Moreover, he's hit the Under in all three of his last home games, suggesting a trend that's hard to ignore. With an expected stat value of just 14.17, betting the Under seems a savvy move in this matchup.

Mikal Bridges (New York Knicks) Over 14.5 Points (+120)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the New York Knicks gear up to face the Toronto Raptors, all eyes should be on Mikal Bridges. Playing on home turf, Bridges has been a steady scorer, averaging 14.6 points over his last five games. Yet, what really sets this matchup apart is his historical performance against the Raptors; he's averaged 17.4 points in his last five encounters with them, showcasing a knack for exploiting their defense.Bridges has recently been more aggressive at home, averaging 11.4 points in his last five at Madison Square Garden. But don't let that fool you-his ability to elevate his game in crucial moments is undeniable. With an expected stat value of 17.21 and a solid hit rate of 2 out of his last 3 games, the over on 14.5 points feels like a wise wager. As he looks to shine on a Friday night, expect Bridges to exceed expectations and put on a show.

Victor Wembanyama (San Antonio Spurs) Over 14.5 Points (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the San Antonio Spurs face off against the Dallas Mavericks, all eyes should be on Victor Wembanyama. With the Spurs playing at home, Wembanyama has been nothing short of spectacular, averaging an impressive 31.2 points over his last five games. Even more striking is his home performance, where he's clocked in at 28.8 points per game, making the 14.5 point mark seem almost laughably low.Against the Mavericks, Wembanyama has consistently found his rhythm, averaging 22.8 points in their recent matchups. Combine that with a flawless 16-game over streak and a perfect 20-game home hit rate, and it's clear he's primed for a big night. Given these numbers and the Spurs' need for a strong showing, betting on Wembanyama to surpass 14.5 points feels like a no-brainer. Expect him to dominate and lead the charge in front of the home crowd.

Daniss Jenkins (Detroit Pistons) Over 12.5 Points + Rebounds (-103)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When looking at Daniss Jenkins for the Over 12.5 points + rebounds against the Pistons, the numbers paint a compelling picture. Jenkins has been a force lately, averaging 18 points and 4.2 rebounds over his last five games. What's even more impressive is his perfect streak-he's hit this mark in all 11 of his last games, showcasing a consistency that's hard to ignore.Playing away doesn't seem to faze him either; he's averaged 14.2 points and 4 rebounds in his last five road games, demonstrating he can deliver under pressure. The Pistons, while competitive, haven't been able to contain players like Jenkins, as reflected in his recent performances against them. With an expected stat value of 16.57, this feels like a solid bet. Jenkins is not just on a hot streak; he's on fire, making the Over 12.5 a tantalizing wager.

Immanuel Quickley (Toronto Raptors) Over 11.5 Points (-141)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Knicks prepare to face the Raptors, all eyes should be on Immanuel Quickley, especially given his recent surge in form. Averaging 14.6 points on the road in his last five games, Quickley has found his groove away from Madison Square Garden. What's particularly striking is his consistency; he's hit the over 11.5 points in 12 of his last 14 away games. Against the Raptors, he's averaged 14 points recently, but when you look closer, that number jumps to 17.7 when playing in Toronto. With an expected stat value of 16.33, Quickley seems poised for a solid outing. The Knicks are counting on him to step up, and given his hit rate of 15 out of 20 in the last stretch, it's hard to ignore the likelihood that he'll surpass that 11.5 mark. Betting on Quickley is not just smart; it's practically a no-brainer.

Nikola Jokic (Denver Nuggets) Over 19.5 Points (-294)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Denver Nuggets host the Oklahoma City Thunder, all eyes should be on Nikola Jokic to light up the scoreboard. At home, he's a force to be reckoned with, averaging an impressive 29.4 points in his last five games in Denver. The Thunder, while competitive, have struggled to contain big men, and Jokic has found success against them, netting around 24 points per game in their recent matchups. With a remarkable hit rate of 9 out of his last 11 games and 7 of 8 at home, it's clear that Jokic thrives in this setting. His expected stat value sits close to 30 points, making 19.5 feel like a steal. Given his current form and the favorable matchup, it's hard to envision him not surpassing that mark. Bet on Jokic to shine and help the Nuggets secure a home win.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro