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Model picks & player props
MLB
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore
Outdoor
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 1:35 PM ET
Boston Red Sox
VS
Baltimore Orioles

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 56 markets for Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles and backs Boston Red Sox -1.5 hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $232.

20
Game markets graded
36
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Boston Red Sox
to win by 2+ runs
Boston Red Sox -1.5 Spread
You bet$10 If it wins$23.20Best price+132
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win42.2%
The price says41.8%

The model graded 56 markets for Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $232 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 1:35 PM ET at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Spread Boston Red Sox -1.5 Lean42% chance +132
Spread Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean56% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot32% chance Members
Batter - RBIs × 1 prop Leanup to 50% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 1 prop Long-shotup to 38% Members
Batter - Walks × 4 props Leanup to 45% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 3 props Leanup to 54% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 4 props Long-shotup to 23% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 9 props Long-shotup to 19% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 1 prop Long-shotup to 8% Members
Batter - Hits × 13 props Highup to 73% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Boston Red Sox and Baltimore Orioles last met on Sun 6 Sep 2026: Boston Red Sox won 3-1. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Spread
Boston Red Sox
-1.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 36 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 67,095+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Garrett Whitlock RPOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Tyron Guerrero RPOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Mickey Gasper DHOut
  • Romy Gonzalez DHDay-to-day
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Eli White CFOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Eduardo Rivera SPOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut

Baltimore Orioles

  • Jordan Westburg 3BOut
  • Kyle Bradish SPOut
  • Blaze Alexander 3BOut
  • Tyler O'Neill RFOut
  • Samuel Basallo COut
  • Jackson Holliday 2BOut
  • Ryan Helsley RPOut
  • Ryan Mountcastle 1BOut
  • Luis Robert Jr. CFOut
  • Reed Trimble LFDay-to-day
  • Colin Selby RPOut
  • Keegan Akin RPOut
  • Cameron Foster RPDay-to-day
  • Zach Eflin SPOut
Availability updated Oct 10, 1:08AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 27 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability27 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Adley Rutschman Batter - RBIs
Adley Rutschman Batter - Total Bases
Colton Cowser Batter - Walks
Adley Rutschman Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Adley Rutschman Batter - Home Runs

+ 36 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBaltimore OriolesNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Baltimore Orioles moneyline form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Run LineBaltimore Orioles run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Baltimore Orioles spread form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxNo line posted

Baltimore Orioles total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBaltimore Orioles team totalNo line posted
4.4runs we expect
L5 RF5.0L5 RA3.8Home L54-1vs Boston Red Sox L52-3

Baltimore Orioles team total runs form: last five 3-2, 5.0 runs/gm.

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles — what the model found

Our model graded 56 betting markets for Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles — 20 on the game itself and 36 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
36
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 56 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 55 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — recent results

Baltimore Orioles have won 4 of their last 5 games; Boston Red Sox have won 2 of their last 5.

Baltimore Orioles — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–6NYYAway
W10–2NYYAway
W4–2TORHome
W4–2TORHome
W4–3TORHome
Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9NYYAway
L0–9NYYAway
L2–6CHCHome
W2–0CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Baltimore Orioles are scoring 1.2 runs per game (1-4) while Boston Red Sox are at 1.8 (2-3); Baltimore Orioles pitchers are allowing 2.0 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for Boston Red Sox.

1.2
Baltimore Orioles runs/G
1.8
Boston Red Sox runs/G
Last 5 gamesBaltimore OriolesBoston Red Sox
Runs / game1.21.8
Hits / game3.23.4
Home runs / game0.20.6
Walks drawn / game1.60.6
Batter K / game1.41.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.01.0
Pitching K / game1.81.4
Walks allowed / game0.41.4
L5 record1-42-3

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Baltimore Orioles won 3, Boston Red Sox won 7.

DateBaltimore OriolesBoston Red SoxWinner
Sep 613Boston Red Sox
Sep 505Boston Red Sox
Sep 401Boston Red Sox
Sep 356Boston Red Sox
Jul 2251Baltimore Orioles
Jul 2236Boston Red Sox
Jul 2056Boston Red Sox
Jun 482Baltimore Orioles
Jun 318Boston Red Sox
Jun 242Baltimore Orioles

Who’s out or in doubt

27 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Baltimore Orioles
PlayerStatus
Jordan Westburg 3BOUT
Kyle Bradish SPOUT
Blaze Alexander 3BOUT
Tyler O'Neill RFOUT
Samuel Basallo COUT
Jackson Holliday 2BOUT
Ryan Helsley RPOUT
Ryan Mountcastle 1BOUT
Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Garrett Whitlock RPOUT
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Tyron Guerrero RPOUT
Masataka Yoshida DHOUT
Mickey Gasper DHOUT
Romy Gonzalez DHDAY-TO-DAY
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Eli White CFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles — model preview

Our Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles prediction for September 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 7, 2026 our model has run Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox: Over 5.5 Total Runs (-238), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Orioles, or as Orioles vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Sunday 6 September 2026 at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The model has generated 20 game picks and 36 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles head-to-head record

Final scores · 59 meetings on record
Even at 29–29 across the last 59 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 10.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Sun 6 Sep 2026, Boston Red Sox at Baltimore Orioles: the Red Sox won 3-1.

DateGameScoreWinner
6 Sep 2026Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles1–3Boston Red Sox
5 Sep 2026Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles0–5Boston Red Sox
4 Sep 2026Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles0–1Boston Red Sox
3 Sep 2026Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles5–6Boston Red Sox
22 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox1–5Baltimore Orioles
20 Jul 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox6–5Boston Red Sox
4 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox2–8Baltimore Orioles
3 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox8–1Boston Red Sox
2 Jun 2026Baltimore Orioles @ Boston Red Sox2–4Baltimore Orioles
26 Apr 2026Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles3–5Boston Red Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 59 meetings on file.

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