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Model picks & player props
MLB
Fenway Park, Boston
Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug 2026, 7:11 PM ET
Chicago White Sox
VS
Boston Red Sox

Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox Prediction & Picks

Our model graded 70 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox and backs Chicago White Sox hardest, a lean, and $100 on it returns about $850.

20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first Free
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
You bet$10 If it wins$85.00Best price+750
Our confidenceLean
Chance to win54.8%
The price says11.8%

The model graded 70 markets for Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $850 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Thu 6 Aug 2026, 7:11 PM ET at Fenway Park.

This game's bets

The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Chicago White Sox Lean55% chance +750
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only High62% chance Members
Spread Members only High61% chance Members
Total Runs Members only Lean52% chance Members
Moneyline Members only Lean55% chance Members
Batter - Singles × 6 props Highup to 88% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 86% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 5 props Highup to 91% Members
Batter - Hits × 4 props Highup to 95% Members
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 74% Members
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 86% Members
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 1 prop Highup to 73% Members
Batter - Walks × 10 props Highup to 96% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 4 props Highup to 86% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Chicago White Sox and Boston Red Sox last met on Thu 6 Aug 2026: Boston Red Sox won 12-11. Their next game gets a fresh preview here the moment it is priced. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Chicago White Sox
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 50 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 66,987+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Chicago White SoxMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Chicago White SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Chicago White Sox

  • Luis Castillo SPOut
  • Prelander Berroa RPOut
  • Ky Bush SPOut
  • Jordan Leasure RPOut
  • Joey Bart COut
  • Mike Vasil RPOut
  • Tanner Murray LFOut
  • Brooks Baldwin LFOut

Probable pitcher

Sean Burke SP

Boston Red Sox

  • Garrett Whitlock RPOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Tyron Guerrero RPOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Mickey Gasper DHOut
  • Romy Gonzalez DHDay-to-day
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Eli White CFOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut
  • Eduardo Rivera SPOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut
Availability updated Oct 11, 12:00AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 21 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability21 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Braden Montgomery Batter - Singles
Ceddanne Rafaela Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Ceddanne Rafaela Batter - Singles
Ceddanne Rafaela BOS Batter - Total Bases
Connor Wong BOS Batter - Hits

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineBoston Red SoxNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Chicago White Sox L51-4

Boston Red Sox moneyline form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Run LineBoston Red Sox run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Chicago White Sox L51-4

Boston Red Sox spread form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White SoxNo line posted

Boston Red Sox total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsBoston Red Sox team totalNo line posted
3.3runs we expect
L5 RF1.8L5 RA3.8Home L52-3vs Chicago White Sox L51-4

Boston Red Sox team total runs form: last five 2-3, 1.8 runs/gm.

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox — recent results

Boston Red Sox have won 2 of their last 5 games; Chicago White Sox have won 4 of their last 5.

Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–9NYYAway
L0–9NYYAway
L2–6CHCHome
W2–0CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
Chicago White Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L3–9CLEHome
W4–3CLEAway
W3–0CLEAway
W7–3HOUAway
W6–3HOUAway

Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox — recent meetings

These two have met 6 times recently: Boston Red Sox won 6, Chicago White Sox won 0.

DateBoston Red SoxChicago White SoxWinner
Aug 61211Boston Red Sox
Aug 540Boston Red Sox
Aug 4142Boston Red Sox
Jul 921Boston Red Sox
Jul 850Boston Red Sox
Jul 781Boston Red Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

21 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Garrett Whitlock RPOUT
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Tyron Guerrero RPOUT
Masataka Yoshida DHOUT
Mickey Gasper DHOUT
Romy Gonzalez DHDAY-TO-DAY
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Eli White CFOUT
Chicago White Sox
PlayerStatus
Luis Castillo SPOUT
Prelander Berroa RPOUT
Ky Bush SPOUT
Jordan Leasure RPOUT
Joey Bart COUT
Mike Vasil RPOUT
Tanner Murray LFOUT
Brooks Baldwin LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox — model preview

Our Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox prediction for August 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 7, 2026 our model has run Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Miguel Vargas (CHW) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-345), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The most recent game between them was Thursday 6 August 2026 at Fenway Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox head-to-head record

Final scores · 26 meetings on record
Boston Red Sox 16–10 across the last 26 meetings · these games average 8.3 runs (meetings on record since 2023)

Last meeting: Thu 6 Aug 2026, Chicago White Sox at Boston Red Sox: the Red Sox won 12-11.

DateGameScoreWinner
6 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox12–11Boston Red Sox
5 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox4–0Boston Red Sox
4 Aug 2026Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox14–2Boston Red Sox
9 Jul 2026Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox1–2Boston Red Sox
8 Jul 2026Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox0–5Boston Red Sox
7 Jul 2026Boston Red Sox @ Chicago White Sox1–8Boston Red Sox
21 Apr 2025Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox4–2Boston Red Sox
20 Apr 2025Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox4–8Chicago White Sox
19 Apr 2025Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox4–3Boston Red Sox
18 Apr 2025Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox10–3Boston Red Sox

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 26 meetings on file.

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