Bet Better BET BETTER PRO
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Trevor Story is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 91 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 91%, implied 74%, edge +17.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 1Blanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 1Blanded 8 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Hlanded 8 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Aug 30, 7:30PM UTC
MLB

Trevor Story

COL

+17.5% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -278 (1.36) · $100→$136
+17.5% Edge
San Diego Padres @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Sun 5 Apr, 5:35PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 935 of 1,976 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
HIGH confidence
How often this wins
91 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 91.0% · the book's price implies 73.5% · gap +17.5%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits91.0%73.5%1.10+17.5%

Which of this player’s bets is worth taking?

The model grades every market on this player and shows you the ones it backs — in plain English, with how much to bet.

Bet Better Unlock All Markets
$4.14 a day on the weekly plan — less than one $50 bet a week · cancel anytime

How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games2/5
Last 10 games5/10

See his full recent form

Unlock how often this player has landed over his last 3, 5, 10, 15 and 20 games — plus his current streak.

Bet Better Unlock Full Form Curve
Cancel anytime

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Trevor Story (COL) Under 1.5 Hits (-278)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As we dive into this matchup between the Red Sox and Padres, Trevor Story's recent performance raises some eyebrows. Despite being a formidable talent, he’s struggling to find his rhythm, posting a batting average that’s lagging behind his career norms. The Padres’ pitching staff, led by a resurgent ace, has been particularly effective at limiting hits, showcasing a solid strikeout rate that makes it tough for hitters like Story to get comfortable. Moreover, Boston's lineup has shown vulnerability against right-handed pitchers, and today’s matchup features a righty who’s excelled at keeping the ball in the park. Add in that Story has recorded fewer than 1.5 hits in several recent contests, and the under becomes increasingly appealing. With the odds favoring this trend, taking the under on Story’s hits seems like a savvy move as we anticipate a tight battle on the diamond.

Unlock the full breakdown

See the model's complete reasoning behind this pick — the match-up read, the key numbers and how sure it is — plus full analysis on every game.

Bet Better Unlock Full Analysis
Cancel anytime

Pick History & Track Record

Recent form (last 5 games)

Trevor Story is averaging 1.4 hits, 0.4 home runs and 1.4 RBIs per game over his last 5 games.

1.4
Hits
0.4
HR
1.4
RBI
0.8
Runs
0.2
Walks
1.0
Ks

Hit-rate ladder: H

Trevor Story has gone over 0.5 H in 30% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.530%
o1.510%
o2.50%
o3.50%

Home / away and opponent splits

Trevor Story is averaging 1.4 hits per game over his last 5 and 1.6 in away games, including his recent form against NYY.

1.4
Hits · Overall
1.6
Hits · Away
1.2
Hits · vs NYY
0.4
HR · Overall
0.2
HR · Away
0.4
HR · vs NYY
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result

See the complete track record

Unlock every graded pick for this player — full dates, lines, odds and results — across the whole season.

Bet Better Unlock Full History
Cancel anytime

About This Player

Trevor Story (COL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Trevor Story is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.5% on this pick. Their next game is San Diego Padres vs Boston Red Sox on Sunday 5 April at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.

Today's selected board

See the plays that cleared the model's filter today

See today's picks

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.

Bet Better is not a bookmaker and does not accept wagers. Information is for educational purposes only. Gamble responsibly — only bet what you can afford to lose. 18+. National Gambling Helpline 1800 858 858. If betting stops being fun, take a break — see our responsible gambling resources.

Get tomorrow's free pick by email

Free. One email a day, tops. Unsubscribe in one tap.

18+ only. Please gamble responsibly.