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MLB

Sonny Gray

STL

+19.2% Edge
Latest Pick
Pitcher - Walks Over 0.5 -294 (1.34)
+19.2% Edge
San Diego Padres @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis
Thu 24 Jul, 11:45PM
Model Probability
93.8%
Implied Probability
74.6%
Model Edge
+19.2%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Sonny Gray (STL) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-294)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Sonny Gray's recent performance data supports the Over 0.5 bet in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market. In his last five overall games, Gray has averaged 0.8 walks per game, and this increases to an average of 1 walk per game in his last five home games. This is higher than the bet line of 0.5, indicating that Gray is more likely to allow more than 0.5 walks in the game. Additionally, Gray's innings pitched (IP) and outs averages are fairly consistent across overall, home, and versus opponent stats, suggesting that his performance is stable and reliable. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, further demonstrate his propensity to allow hits, which can lead to walks. Therefore, based on Gray's recent statistics, the Over 0.5 bet is a sound choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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