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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Sogard is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits.
On the Batter - Hits market the model assigns a model win probability of 90%, versus the book's implied 68%, for a model edge of +22.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 1, 8:37AM UTC
MLB

Nick Sogard

MLB

+22.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 1.5 -208 (1.48)
+22.6% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California · Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug, 1:10AM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
90.1%
Implied Probability
67.6%
Model Edge
+22.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits90.1%67.6%1.11+22.6%

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AI Analysis

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Nick Sogard Under 1.5 Hits (-208)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Dodgers gear up to face the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Nick Sogard, but backing him to go over 1.5 hits feels like a risky play. The evidence is stacked against him in this matchup. Sogard has recently struggled at the dish, with a batting average that’s dipped below.200 in his last ten games. Meanwhile, the Dodgers' pitching staff has been nothing short of dominant, boasting a strikeout rate that ranks among the league's best. With their aces, like Walker Buehler, consistently keeping opposing hitters off balance, Sogard's chances of finding success are slim. Moreover, the Red Sox’s recent inconsistency at the plate only adds to the concern. Given these trends, taking the under on Sogard’s hits seems to align perfectly with the current landscape. Expect a tough outing for him against this formidable Dodgers pitching lineup.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 5 of last 5(100%)

Betting angles

6 markets live
Batter - HitsUpcoming gameU 1.5 -208+22.6% edge

Nick Sogard MLB hits. Current line U 1.5 at -208 (+22.6% model edge).

Batter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -208+11.5% edge

Nick Sogard MLB total bases. Current line U 1.5 at -208 (+11.5% model edge).

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsUpcoming gameU 2.5 -164+25.3% edge

Nick Sogard MLB hits + runs + rbis. Current line U 2.5 at -164 (+25.3% model edge).

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 1.5 -526+10.5% edge

Nick Sogard MLB runs scored. Current line U 1.5 at -526 (+10.5% model edge).

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -357+15.6% edge

Nick Sogard MLB singles. Current line U 1.5 at -357 (+15.6% model edge).

Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 1.5 -556+14.7% edge

Nick Sogard MLB walks. Current line U 1.5 at -556 (+14.7% model edge).

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
31 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -196 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -141 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Batter - Singles 1.5 Under -313 ✓ HIT
31 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Batter - Total Bases Pending
31 Jul 26 Boston Red Sox @ Athletics Batter - Walks Pending

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About This Player

Nick Sogard is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Sogard is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +22.6% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday 2 August at Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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