Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Nick Sogard is Over 1.5 on Batter - Walks.
On Batter - Walks, our numbers say this bet wins about 31 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: calibrated probability 31%, implied 9%, edge +16.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Sep 15, 3:13PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Walks
Over 1.5
+1000 (11.00) · $100→$1,100
+16.6% Edge
Kansas City Royals
@
Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Sun 13 Sep, 7:05PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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How often this wins
26 in 100
Predicted
0.5 Batter - Walks
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 25.7% · the book's price implies 9.1% · gap +16.6%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Walks | 25.7% | 31.2% | 9.1% | 3.21 | +16.6% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/0 |
| Last 5 games | 0/0 |
| Last 10 games | 0/0 |
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Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Walks (+1000)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
Boston Red Sox play Kansas City Royals in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Nick Sogard Over 1.5 Walks (+1000). That is a Walks bet. It was priced at +1000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $110 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis
Nick Sogard has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 67% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.567%
o1.567%
o2.533%
o3.533%
o4.50%
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
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Nick Sogard is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Nick Sogard is Over 1.5 on Batter - Walks. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +16.6% on this pick. Their next game is Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox on Sunday 13 September at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
Bet Better is a model and analytics service, not a bookmaker. Picks are informational only and not a guarantee of results. 21+. Please gamble responsibly.