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MLB

Ceddanne Rafaela

BOS

+4.3% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases Under 0.5 -588 (1.17)
+4.3% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg
Fri 19 Sep, 11:35PM
Model Probability
89.8%
Implied Probability
85.5%
Model Edge
+4.3%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

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Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Ceddanne Rafaela is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Rafaela's last five games show a batting average of only 0.4 stolen bases overall, and specifically 0.4 when playing away. This suggests he's unlikely to steal more than half a base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, Rafaela's performance against the Tampa Bay Rays is even less promising, with an average of only 0.2 stolen bases in his last five games against this team. His current hit streak is also zero, indicating a lack of momentum. The absence of caught stealing instances (Avg L5 Overall Cs: 0, Avg L5 Away Cs: 0) doesn't significantly impact this bet as the focus is on the lack of successful steals. These statistics collectively imply a high probability that Rafaela will not steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a good choice.

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Pick History & Track Record

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