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Model picks & player props
Boston Red Sox
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 22, 5:25AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Sun 2 Aug 2026, 11:20PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Los Angeles Dodgers Moneyline +598

The model graded 70 markets for Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $698 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 2 Aug 2026, 11:20PM at Dodger Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win51.5%
The price says14.3%
Best price+598
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers Lean52% chance +598
Spread Long-shot38% chance
Spread Long-shot31% chance
Spread Long-shot24% chance
Spread Long-shot22% chance
Spread Long-shot34% chance
Moneyline Lean48% chance
Spread Long-shot28% chance
Spread Long-shot16% chance
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 84%
Pitcher - Strikeouts × 1 prop Highup to 90%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 3 props Highup to 89%
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 13 props Highup to 90%
Pitcher - Walks × 3 props Highup to 86%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — from the model’s graded calls on this game
Los Angeles Dodgers 0.5 · $100 returned $800

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 840 of 1,690 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 21
Under 4.5
Washington Nationals @ Texas Rangers
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $483
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline
Los Angeles Dodgers
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Los Angeles DodgersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Boston Red SoxSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Boston Red Sox

  • Garrett Crochet SPOut
  • Garrett Whitlock RPOut
  • Roman Anthony LFOut
  • Masataka Yoshida DHOut
  • Tanner Houck SPOut
  • Trevor Story SSOut
  • Justin Slaten RPOut
  • Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2BOut
  • Triston Casas 1BOut
  • Curtis Mead 3BOut
  • Zack Kelly RPOut
  • Johan Oviedo SPOut
  • Kutter Crawford SPOut

Probable pitcher

Sonny Gray SP

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Will Smith COut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Tyler Glasnow SPOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut

Probable pitcher

Yoshinobu Yamamoto SP
Availability updated Aug 22, 2:10AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 26 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability26 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

See the weather- and injury-adjusted projected line and the model's with/without delta for this fixture. 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Payton Tolle Pitcher - Earned Runs
Payton Tolle BOS Pitcher - Strikeouts
Yoshinobu Yamamoto LAD Pitcher - Hits Allowed
Ceddanne Rafaela Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Ranger Suarez PHI Pitcher - Walks

+ 50 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Boston Red Sox L53-2Free board10-8

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
4-1L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Boston Red Sox L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Boston Red SoxNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
2.9runs we expect
L5 RF4.6L5 RA1.2Home L52-3vs Boston Red Sox L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 4-1, 4.6 runs/gm.

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 4 of their last 5 games; Boston Red Sox have won 3 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4COLAway
W7–6COLAway
W11–5COLAway
L2–6MILHome
W3–1MILHome
Boston Red Sox — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W6–4SFHome
L6–7ARIHome
W9–4ARIHome
W11–1ARIHome
L3–8PITAway

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 1.4 runs per game (4-1) while Boston Red Sox are at 1.4 (2-3); Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Boston Red Sox.

1.4
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
1.4
Boston Red Sox runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox
Runs / game1.41.4
Hits / game3.02.6
Home runs / game0.20.4
Walks drawn / game1.60.8
Batter K / game1.41.8
Earned runs allowed / game0.41.2
Pitching K / game1.21.2
Walks allowed / game0.21.4
L5 record4-12-3

Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 3 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 0, Boston Red Sox won 3.

DateLos Angeles DodgersBoston Red SoxWinner
Aug 223Boston Red Sox
Aug 248Boston Red Sox
Aug 149Boston Red Sox

Who’s out or in doubt

26 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Will Smith COUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Tyler Glasnow SPOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Bobby Miller SPOUT
Blake Treinen RPOUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Boston Red Sox
PlayerStatus
Garrett Crochet SPOUT
Garrett Whitlock RPOUT
Roman Anthony LFOUT
Masataka Yoshida DHOUT
Tanner Houck SPOUT
Trevor Story SSOUT
Justin Slaten RPOUT
Isiah Kiner-Falefa 2BOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Our Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for August 3, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 3, 2026 our model has run Boston Red Sox at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Wilyer Abreu (BOS) Under 0.5 Walks (-303), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
02 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 1 Innings Over 0.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Boston Red Sox -1 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Boston Red Sox +1 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Moneyline Boston Red Sox ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Boston Red Sox +1.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Boston Red Sox ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Boston Red Sox +2 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 11.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread Boston Red Sox +2.5 ✓ HIT
02 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Los Angeles Dodgers 1.5 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Sox vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Sox. The most recent game between them was Sunday 2 August 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Last time they played

Final scores · last 3 meetings
Boston Red Sox 3–0 across the last 3 meetings
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Aug 2026Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–3Boston Red Sox
2 Aug 2026Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–8Boston Red Sox
1 Aug 2026Boston Red Sox @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–9Boston Red Sox
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