Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Wilyer Abreu is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On the Batter - Stolen Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 92%, versus the book's implied 90%, for a model edge of +2.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:18PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Stolen Bases
Under 0.5
-909 (1.11) · $100→$111
+2.1% Edge
Boston Red Sox
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
90.1%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Stolen Bases | 92.2% | — | 90.1% | 1.09 | +2.1% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 2/5 |
| Last 10 games | 4/10 |
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Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Toronto Blue Jays play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Wilyer Abreu Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909). That is a Stolen Bases bet. It was priced at -909 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.10 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
4 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -127 Game log vs U 1.54 / 7 hit
Wilyer Abreu MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -127.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -167 Game log vs U 0.53 / 8 hit
Wilyer Abreu MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -167.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -435 Game log vs U 0.58 / 9 hit
Wilyer Abreu MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -435.
Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -909 Wilyer Abreu MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -909.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.560%
O 1.520%
O 2.510%
O 3.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
Wilyer Abreu MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted Wilyer Abreu MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted O 0.570%
O 1.540%
O 2.540%
O 3.520%
O 4.510%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 4.3 · hi 6 · lo 1
Wilyer Abreu MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 70% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Runs ScoredSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 3 · lo 0
Wilyer Abreu MLB runs scored: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - SinglesSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 1 · lo 0
Wilyer Abreu MLB singlesseason and recent-form profile.
Wilyer Abreu is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Wilyer Abreu is Under 0.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.1% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays on Monday 10 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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