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Willson Contreras

CHC

Value call

Willson Contreras has one live pick today: over 2.5 strikeouts that pays $820 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
16 in 100
Predicted
1.4 strikeouts
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 15.6% · before adjusting for past results 17.4% · the book's price implies 12.2% · gap +3.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees
Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC), New York · Outdoor
Wed 30 Sep, 8:15 PM ET
Willson Contreras
over 2.5 strikeouts
Batter - Strikeouts Over 2.5 +720 (8.20) · $100→$820
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 16 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$82.00 Odds+720
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Willson Contreras is Over 2.5 on Batter - Strikeouts.
On Batter - Strikeouts, our numbers say this bet wins about 16 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 16%, the price says 12%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Oct 12, 5:45AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 140 of 242 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Strikeouts17.4%15.6%12.2%6.42+5.2%

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AI Analysis

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Willson Contreras (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (+720)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

New York Yankees play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Willson Contreras (CHC) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (+720). That is a Strikeouts bet. It was priced at +720 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $82 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (20 picks) 60.0% Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.
Quick answers:How many home runs does Willson Contreras hit?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
30 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Strikeouts 2.5 Over +720 ✗ MISS
30 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Strikeouts 1.5 Over +155 ✗ MISS
30 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Walks 0.5 Under -196 ✗ MISS
30 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
30 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Willson Contreras (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The model has hit at a rate of 60.0% on tracked Willson Contreras picks. The latest model pick for Willson Contreras is Over 2.5 on Batter - Strikeouts. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.2% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs New York Yankees on Wednesday 30 September at Yankee Stadium, Bronx (NYC). Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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