Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Willson Contreras is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 65%, for a model edge of +13.5%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:15PM UTC
MLB
Willson Contreras
CHC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs
Under 0.5
-185 (1.54) · $100→$154
+13.5% Edge
Boston Red Sox
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
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Implied Probability
64.9%
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - RBIs | 78.4% | — | 64.9% | 1.27 | +13.5% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 0/3 |
| Last 5 games | 0/5 |
| Last 10 games | 0/10 |
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Willson Contreras (CHC) Under 0.5 RBIs (-185)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Toronto Blue Jays play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Willson Contreras (CHC) Under 0.5 RBIs (-185). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -185 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.41 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
5 markets liveBatter - Total BasesUpcoming gameU 1.5 -141 Game log vs U 1.54 / 8 hit
Willson Contreras MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Current line U 1.5 at -141.
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -182 Game log vs U 0.54 / 7 hit
Willson Contreras MLB rbis: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -182.
Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -141 Game log vs U 0.52 / 4 hit
Willson Contreras MLB singles: cleared under 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -141.
Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -455 Game log vs U 0.56 / 6 hit
Willson Contreras MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -455.
Batter - WalksUpcoming gameU 0.5 -256 Game log vs U 0.53 / 6 hit
Willson Contreras MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 100% of the last 10 games. Current line U 0.5 at -256.
Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 1 · hi 2 · lo 0
Willson Contreras MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted Game log vs O 0.5avg 1.3 · hi 4 · lo 0
Willson Contreras MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 75% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.
Batter - StrikeoutsSeason & recent formNo line posted Willson Contreras MLB strikeoutsseason and recent-form profile.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 09 Aug 26 |
Athletics @ Boston Red Sox |
Batter - Doubles |
0.5 |
Under |
-476 |
✓ HIT |
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Willson Contreras (CHC) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Willson Contreras is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +13.5% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays on Monday 10 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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