On August 17, 2026 our model has run Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Henry Davis Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-256), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.
Henry Davis Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-256)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Henry Davis Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-256). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -256 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.91 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Jared Triolo (PIT) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-172)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jared Triolo (PIT) Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-172). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -172 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits (-208)
Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Wilyer Abreu Over 0.5 Hits (-208). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at -208 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.81 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-189)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox: Over 3.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-189). That is a alternate totals 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at -189 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $15.29 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox: Pittsburgh Pirates -0.5 (+128)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox: Pittsburgh Pirates -0.5 (+128). That is a alternate spreads 1st 5 innings bet. It was priced at +128 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $22.80 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox: Pittsburgh Pirates -1 (+140)
Odds correct at time of publishing
Pittsburgh Pirates play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox: Pittsburgh Pirates -1 (+140). That is a alternate spreads bet. It was priced at +140 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $24 if it lands. Our model rates this one a lean pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is the whole read. Every bet above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.