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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Jarren Duran is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs.
On the Batter - RBIs market the model assigns a model win probability of 82%, versus the book's implied 79%, for a model edge of +2.9%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 6, 2:14PM UTC
MLB

Jarren Duran

BOS

+2.9% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - RBIs Under 0.5 -385 (1.26)
+2.9% Edge
Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Thu 6 Aug, 11:10PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
82.3%
Implied Probability
79.4%
Model Edge
+2.9%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - RBIs82.3%79.4%1.22+2.9%

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Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games0/5
Last 10 games0/10

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AI Analysis

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Jarren Duran (BOS) Under 0.5 RBIs (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Chicago White Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Jarren Duran (BOS) Under 0.5 RBIs (-385). That is a RBIs bet. It was priced at -385 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.60 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

7 markets live
Batter - Total BasesUpcoming vs CWSU 1.5 -141
90%hit L10
Streak2L2085%
Game log vs U 1.54 / 5 hit
10015

Jarren Duran MLB total bases: cleared under 1.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs CWS. Current line U 1.5 at -141.

Batter - RBIsUpcoming vs CWSU 0.5 -200
Game log vs U 0.54 / 6 hit
002010

Jarren Duran MLB rbis vs CWS. Current line U 0.5 at -200.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming vs CWSU 0.5 -145
Game log vs U 0.50 / 3 hit
121

Jarren Duran MLB runs scored vs CWS. Current line U 0.5 at -145.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming vs CWSU 0.5 -143
Game log vs U 0.52 / 5 hit
00111

Jarren Duran MLB singles vs CWS. Current line U 0.5 at -143.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming vs CWSU 0.5 -500
80%hit L10
L2085%
Game log vs U 0.53 / 4 hit
0001

Jarren Duran MLB doubles: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs CWS. Current line U 0.5 at -500.

Batter - WalksUpcoming vs CWSU 0.5 -385
80%hit L10
L2075%
Game log vs U 0.55 / 7 hit
1001000

Jarren Duran MLB walks: cleared under 0.5 in 80% of the last 10 games vs CWS. Current line U 0.5 at -385.

Batter - Stolen BasesUpcoming vs CWSU 0.5 -909
90%hit L10
Streak6L2080%
Game log vs U 0.52 / 4 hit
0011

Jarren Duran MLB stolen bases: cleared under 0.5 in 90% of the last 10 games vs CWS. Current line U 0.5 at -909.

Batter - HitsSeason & recent formNo line posted
50%hit L10
L2055%
O 0.550%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 0.7 · hi 2 · lo 0
002

Jarren Duran MLB hits: cleared over 0.5 in 50% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

Batter - Home RunsSeason & recent formNo line posted
O 0.540%

Jarren Duran MLB home runsseason and recent-form profile.

Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIsSeason & recent formNo line posted
60%hit L10
L2065%
O 0.560%
O 1.560%
O 2.540%
Game log vs O 0.5avg 2.7 · hi 5 · lo 0
053

Jarren Duran MLB hits + runs + rbis: cleared over 0.5 in 60% of the last 10 games. Season and recent-form profile.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
05 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -667 ✗ MISS
05 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -154 ✗ MISS
05 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -227 ✓ HIT
05 Aug 26 Chicago White Sox @ Boston Red Sox Batter - RBIs Pending

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About This Player

Jarren Duran (BOS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Jarren Duran is Under 0.5 on Batter - RBIs. The model identifies a slight edge of +2.9% on this pick. Their next game is Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox on Thursday 6 August at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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