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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Durbin is Over 2.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 7 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 7%, the price says 4%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Under 1.50 SBlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 Rlanded 10 of the last 10
Under 1.50 BBlanded 10 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 24, 6:13AM UTC
MLB

Caleb Durbin

MLB

Value call

Caleb Durbin has one live pick today: Batter - Hits Over 2.5 that pays $2,800 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Over 2.5 +2700 (28.00) · $100→$2,800
Value call
Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston, Massachusetts · Outdoor
Thu 24 Sep, 10:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher strikeouts overs: 199 of 437 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
GOOD confidence
How often this wins
7 in 100
Predicted
0.8 Batter - Hits
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 7.5% · the book's price implies 3.6% · gap +3.9%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits7.5%3.6%13.37+3.9%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games0/3
Last 5 games1/4
Last 10 games1/4

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AI Analysis

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Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits (+2700)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Boston Red Sox play Cleveland Guardians in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Durbin Over 2.5 Hits (+2700). That is a Hits bet. It was priced at +2700 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $280 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Caleb Durbin's lines for Thu 24 Sep

Every market the books have posted for him, with the best price we can find, how often he has cleared the line lately, and his last 10 games on tap. Which side the model backs on each is for Pro members.

Batter Hits 2.5

Caleb Durbin's batter hits line is 2.5.

Batter Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5

Caleb Durbin's batter hits + runs + rbis line is 0.5.

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Caleb Durbin has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 50% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.550%
o1.520%
o2.510%
o3.510%
o4.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
20 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Stolen Bases 0.5 Under -625 ✓ HIT
20 Sep 26 Boston Red Sox @ Tampa Bay Rays Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 0.5 Over -222 ✓ HIT
22 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Total Bases Pending
22 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
22 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs Pending
22 Sep 26 Cleveland Guardians @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Singles Pending

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About This Player

Caleb Durbin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Durbin is Over 2.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +3.9% on this pick. Their next game is Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox on Thursday 24 September at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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