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Caleb Durbin

MLB

+9.5% Edge
Latest Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -196 (1.51)
+9.5% Edge
Milwaukee Brewers @ Boston Red Sox
Fenway Park, Boston
Wed 8 Apr, 5:35PM
Model Probability
75.7%
Implied Probability
66.2%
Model Edge
+9.5%
Predicted Value

AI Analysis

SUBSCRIBERS

Caleb Durbin (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Red Sox host the Brewers, all eyes will be on Caleb Durbin, who’s been a mixed bag lately at the plate. While the young hitter has flashed potential, he’s facing a formidable challenge against Boston’s pitching staff, which has been particularly stingy at home. With a solid strikeout rate and an ability to limit hard contact, the Red Sox's arms are no picnic for any batter. Durbin’s performance has been inconsistent, struggling against right-handed pitching, and going up against a starter like Nick Pivetta, who thrives in suppressing runs, isn’t ideal. The Brewers’ lineup also hasn’t exactly been prolific lately, making it tough for Durbin to find opportunities to rack up total bases. Given his recent form and the tough matchup, betting on him to stay under 1.5 total bases feels like a smart play in this one.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 0.0% (0/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Apr 26 Milwaukee Brewers @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Total Bases 1.5 Under -196 ✗ MISS

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About This Player

Caleb Durbin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 0.0% (0/1). The latest model pick for Caleb Durbin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +9.5% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Boston Red Sox on Wednesday 8 April at Fenway Park, Boston. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.