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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Durbin is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits.
On Batter - Hits, our numbers say this bet wins about 40 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 40%, implied 40%, edge +0.2%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.

Recent form on the board

Over 0.50 hits runs rbislanded 8 of the last 10
Over 1.50 hits runs rbislanded 7 of the last 10
Over 0.50 Rlanded 7 of the last 10

Graded from real results — only lines with recent form are shown.

Model updated Sep 3, 4:15PM UTC
MLB

Caleb Durbin

BOS

+0.2% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits Under 0.5 +148 (2.48) · $100→$248
+0.2% Edge
Boston Red Sox @ Baltimore Orioles
Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland · Outdoor
Thu 3 Sep, 11:15PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
40 in 100
See the numbers

For the numbers: model probability 40.5% · the book's price implies 40.3% · gap +0.2%.

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Hits40.5%40.3%2.47+0.2%

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How Often He's Landed Lately

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games1/3
Last 5 games1/5
Last 10 games1/10

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AI Analysis

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Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox: Caleb Durbin Under 0.5 Batter - Hits (+148)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Caleb Durbin has struggled lately, averaging no hits in his last three games. With the Baltimore Orioles facing the Boston Red Sox, he's up against a tough matchup. The Red Sox have a solid record against left-handed pitchers, and Durbin's team has been hit-or-miss at home this season. The odds are good for betting on him to get under 0.5 hits. The Red Sox are playing well and Durbin's recent form doesn't inspire much confidence. He could easily continue his slump here, making this a bet worth considering.

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Pick History & Track Record

Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis

Caleb Durbin has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 40% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.

o0.540%
o1.530%
o2.520%
o3.510%
o4.50%
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
02 Sep 26 Seattle Mariners @ Boston Red Sox Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -667 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Caleb Durbin (BOS) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Durbin is Under 0.5 on Batter - Hits. The model identifies a slight edge of +0.2% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles on Thursday 3 September at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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