Caleb Durbin (BOS) Under 1.5 Hits (-270)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Red Sox prepare to host the Nationals, all eyes will be on Caleb Durbin at the plate. While Durbin has shown flashes of potential, he’s facing a tough matchup against a Boston pitching staff that thrives at home, boasting a stellar 3.42 ERA this season. The Sox have been particularly effective against right-handed hitters, which could stifle Durbin's opportunities.
Moreover, his recent trends paint a compelling picture. Over the last few weeks, he’s struggled to find consistent contact, averaging just 0.65 hits per game. With the Red Sox’s defense tightening up, the under on his hits looks enticing. With an implied probability of 73% for hitting under 1.5, it’s hard to ignore the trend—Durbin’s going to need a perfect game to clear this line. Given the circumstances, betting on him to stay under seems like a savvy play for this matchup.