Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Caleb Durbin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs.
On Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs, our numbers say this bet wins about 75 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: model probability 75%, implied 57%, edge +17.7%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 13, 1:01PM UTC
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Under 1.5
-133 (1.75) · $100→$175
+17.7% Edge
Boston Red Sox
@
Toronto Blue Jays
Rogers Centre, Toronto, Ontario · Indoor
Thu 13 Aug, 7:07PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 619 of 1,194 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
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How often this wins
75 in 100
See the numbers
For the numbers: model probability 74.8% · the book's price implies 57.1% · gap +17.7%.
| Market | Model | Model probability | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs | 74.8% | — | 57.1% | 1.34 | +17.7% |
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| Window | Hit Rate |
|---|
| Last 3 games | 1/3 |
| Last 5 games | 1/5 |
| Last 10 games | 1/10 |
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Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-133)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
Toronto Blue Jays play Boston Red Sox in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is Caleb Durbin Under 1.5 Hits+Runs+RBIs (-133). That is a Hits+Runs+RBIs bet. It was priced at -133 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $17.52 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Hit-rate ladder: Hits Runs Rbis
Caleb Durbin has gone over 0.5 hits runs rbis in 22% of his last 10 games, and the hit rate drops as the line rises.
o0.522%
o1.511%
o2.50%
o3.50%
o4.50%
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 12 Aug 26 |
Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays |
Batter - RBIs |
0.5 |
Under |
-370 |
✓ HIT |
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Caleb Durbin is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Caleb Durbin is Under 1.5 on Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +17.7% on this pick. Their next game is Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday 13 August at Rogers Centre, Toronto. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.
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