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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
Los Angeles Dodgers

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Aug 30, 11:04PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles
Outdoor
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 8:10PM
20
Game markets graded
50
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Milwaukee Brewers Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings +154

The model graded 70 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — a lean, not a lock. A $100 bet returns about $254 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 16 Aug 2026, 8:10PM at Dodger Stadium.

Our confidenceLean
Chance to win40.0%
The price says36.8%
Best price+154
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers Lean40% chance +154
Spread Long-shot24% chance
Moneyline Long-shot35% chance
Spread Long-shot16% chance
Spread Long-shot29% chance
Spread Long-shot9% chance
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 11 props Highup to 88%
Pitcher - Earned Runs × 2 props Highup to 91%
Batter - Hits × 3 props Highup to 74%
Pitcher - Hits Allowed × 1 prop Highup to 84%
Pitcher - Walks × 1 prop Highup to 81%
Batter - Singles × 7 props Highup to 90%
Batter - Runs Scored × 3 props Highup to 87%
Batter - Total Bases × 4 props Highup to 82%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
This game is done — the model’s call CASHED
Milwaukee Brewers · $100 returned $254

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Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record
This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 935 of 1,976 right (mlb total-runs unders)
This bet type · last timeAug 29
Under 11.5
Chicago White Sox @ Minnesota Twins
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $130
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings
Milwaukee Brewers
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
Milwaukee BrewersMoneyline - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersMoneylineThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Los Angeles DodgersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro

Which price is actually worth taking?

Pro shows you, in plain English, how far each price is off — and how much to put on it. No maths needed on your side.

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Abner Uribe RPOut
  • JoJo Romero RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Dustin May SP

Los Angeles Dodgers

  • Will Smith COut
  • Justin Wrobleski SPOut
  • Roki Sasaki SPOut
  • Gavin Stone SPOut
  • Jake Cousins RPOut
  • Andy Pages CFOut
  • Edwin Diaz RPOut
  • Will Klein RPOut
  • Bobby Miller SPOut
  • Blake Treinen RPOut
  • Dalton Rushing COut
  • Kris Bubic SPOut
  • Ben Casparius RPOut
  • Brusdar Graterol RPOut

Probable pitcher

Tyler Glasnow SP
Availability updated Aug 30, 6:10PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 22 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability22 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
William Contreras MIL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Logan Henderson Pitcher - Earned Runs
Mookie Betts LAD Batter - Hits
Freddie Freeman ATL Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs
Tarik Skubal DET Pitcher - Hits Allowed

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineLos Angeles DodgersNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF0.4L5 RA0.8Home L50-5vs Milwaukee Brewers L53-2Free board12-10

Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline form: last five 0-5, 0.4 runs/gm.

Run LineLos Angeles Dodgers run lineNo line posted
0-5L5 record
L5 RF0.4L5 RA0.8Home L50-5vs Milwaukee Brewers L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers spread form: last five 0-5, 0.4 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

Los Angeles Dodgers total runs form: last five 0-5, 0.4 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsLos Angeles Dodgers team totalNo line posted
0.3runs we expect
L5 RF0.4L5 RA0.8Home L50-5vs Milwaukee Brewers L53-2

Los Angeles Dodgers team total runs form: last five 0-5, 0.4 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — what the model found

Our model graded 70 betting markets for Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers — 20 on the game itself and 50 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
50
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 70 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 69 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent results

Los Angeles Dodgers have won 1 of their last 5 games; Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5.

Los Angeles Dodgers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L1–2DETAway
W2–1DETAway
L0–1ATLAway
L5–6ATLAway
L3–4ATLAway
Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–3TEXHome
W6–1TEXHome
W8–2NYMAway
W8–1NYMAway
L2–3NYMAway

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Los Angeles Dodgers are scoring 0.8 runs per game (2-3) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 1.0 (2-3); Los Angeles Dodgers pitchers are allowing 0.4 earned runs per game versus 1.2 for Milwaukee Brewers.

0.8
Los Angeles Dodgers runs/G
1.0
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesLos Angeles DodgersMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game0.81.0
Hits / game2.62.2
Home runs / game0.40.4
Walks drawn / game0.21.2
Batter K / game1.81.6
Earned runs allowed / game0.41.2
Pitching K / game2.42.0
Walks allowed / game0.60.8
L5 record2-32-3

Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers — recent meetings

These two have met 9 times recently: Los Angeles Dodgers won 4, Milwaukee Brewers won 5.

DateLos Angeles DodgersMilwaukee BrewersWinner
Aug 1626Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 1531Los Angeles Dodgers
Aug 1514Milwaukee Brewers
Aug 1445Milwaukee Brewers
May 2451Los Angeles Dodgers
May 23113Los Angeles Dodgers
May 2215Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 16924Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 943Los Angeles Dodgers

Who’s out or in doubt

22 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Los Angeles Dodgers
PlayerStatus
Will Smith COUT
Justin Wrobleski SPOUT
Roki Sasaki SPOUT
Gavin Stone SPOUT
Jake Cousins RPOUT
Andy Pages CFOUT
Edwin Diaz RPOUT
Will Klein RPOUT
Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Abner Uribe RPOUT
JoJo Romero RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Joel Kuhnel RPOUT
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers — model preview

Our Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers prediction for August 17, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On August 17, 2026 our model has run Milwaukee Brewers at Los Angeles Dodgers and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Freddie Freeman (ATL) Under 0.5 RBIs (-323), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Cashed picks for this matchup

From the public log
DateMarketPickResult
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 6 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -2 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs Over 5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 1.5 ✓ HIT
16 Aug 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers +1 ✓ HIT

Every pick — wins and losses — is logged on the public record.

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs Los Angeles Dodgers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Brewers vs Dodgers, or as Dodgers vs Brewers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 16 August 2026 at Dodger Stadium. The model has generated 20 game picks and 50 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 35 meetings on record
Los Angeles Dodgers 19–15 across the last 35 meetings · 1 draw · these games average 8.9 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
16 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers2–6Milwaukee Brewers
15 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers3–1Los Angeles Dodgers
14 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–5Milwaukee Brewers
13 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers4–5Milwaukee Brewers
24 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers1–5Los Angeles Dodgers
23 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers3–11Los Angeles Dodgers
22 May 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers5–1Milwaukee Brewers
16 Mar 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers9–24Milwaukee Brewers
9 Mar 2026Los Angeles Dodgers @ Milwaukee Brewers3–4Los Angeles Dodgers
17 Oct 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ Los Angeles Dodgers5–1Los Angeles Dodgers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 35 meetings on file.

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