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Model picks & player props
San Diego Padres
VS
Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 10, 11:50AM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
American Family Field, Milwaukee
Indoor
Sun 8 Jun 2025, 5:05PM
0
Game markets graded
6
Props graded
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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 25 of 137 right (mlb batter home runs overs)
This bet type · last timeSep 9
Bobby Witt Jr. Over 0.5
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Kansas City Royals
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Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Player props & full board
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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

San Diego Padres

  • Miguel Andujar DHOut
  • Joe Musgrove SPOut
  • Luis Rengifo LFOut
  • Gavin Sheets 1BOut
  • Jeremiah Estrada RPOut
  • Lucas Giolito SPOut
  • Jason Adam RPOut
  • Ramon Laureano LFOut
  • Bryan Hoeing RPOut

Probable pitcher

Walker Buehler SP

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Jake Bauers 1BDay-to-day
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Grant Anderson RPOut
  • Bryse Wilson RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Logan Henderson SP
Availability updated Sep 9, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 17 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability17 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Christian Yelich MIL Batter - Stolen Bases
Jackson Chourio MIL Batter - Stolen Bases
Tyler Wade SDP Batter - Stolen Bases
Xander Bogaerts SDP Batter - Stolen Bases
Manny Machado SDP Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 6 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineMilwaukee BrewersNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs San Diego Padres L51-4Free board14-13

Milwaukee Brewers moneyline form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineMilwaukee Brewers run lineNo line posted
3-2L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs San Diego Padres L51-4

Milwaukee Brewers spread form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego PadresNo line posted

Milwaukee Brewers total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsMilwaukee Brewers team totalNo line posted
2.2runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA1.4Home L51-4vs San Diego Padres L51-4

Milwaukee Brewers team total runs form: last five 3-2, 3.0 runs/gm.

San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers — what the model found

Our model graded 6 betting markets for San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers — 0 on the game itself and 6 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

6
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 6 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 5 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent results

Milwaukee Brewers have won 3 of their last 5 games; San Diego Padres have won 5 of their last 5.

Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W8–6CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
W4–3CHCHome
L8–12CINAway
L3–5CINAway
San Diego Padres — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W5–4WSHHome
W9–2WSHHome
W3–2WSHHome
W4–3NYYHome
W3–2NYYHome

San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers — recent meetings

These two have met 8 times recently: Milwaukee Brewers won 3, San Diego Padres won 5.

DateMilwaukee BrewersSan Diego PadresWinner
Aug 12211San Diego Padres
Aug 1234San Diego Padres
Aug 1123San Diego Padres
May 1471Milwaukee Brewers
May 1313San Diego Padres
May 1264Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 2161Milwaukee Brewers
Feb 2357San Diego Padres

Who’s out or in doubt

17 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Jake Bauers 1BDAY-TO-DAY
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Grant Anderson RPOUT
Bryse Wilson RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT
San Diego Padres
PlayerStatus
Miguel Andujar DHOUT
Joe Musgrove SPOUT
Luis Rengifo LFOUT
Gavin Sheets 1BOUT
Jeremiah Estrada RPOUT
Lucas Giolito SPOUT
Jason Adam RPOUT
Ramon Laureano LFOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers — model preview

Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Milwaukee Brewers vs San Diego Padres. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.

Tyler Wade (SDP) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Tyler Wade for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Wade's statistics show he hasn't stolen a base in his last five games overall, his last five away games, and his last five games against the Brewers. This is indicated by his average of 0 in these categories. Additionally, he has not been caught stealing in these same scenarios, suggesting he is not attempting to steal bases. Despite his impressive hit streaks, both overall and away, these do not translate into stolen bases. Therefore, based on Wade's recent lack of stolen bases, betting Under 0.5 for this market is statistically justified.

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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for San Diego Padres vs Milwaukee Brewers in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Padres vs Brewers, or as Brewers vs Padres. The most recent game between them was Sunday 8 June 2025 at American Family Field. The model has generated 6 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 33 meetings on record
San Diego Padres 17–16 across the last 33 meetings · these games average 9.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
12 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres11–2San Diego Padres
11 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres3–2San Diego Padres
10 Aug 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres3–2San Diego Padres
14 May 2026San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers7–1Milwaukee Brewers
13 May 2026San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers1–3San Diego Padres
12 May 2026San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers6–4Milwaukee Brewers
21 Mar 2026San Diego Padres @ Milwaukee Brewers6–1Milwaukee Brewers
23 Feb 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres7–5San Diego Padres
24 Sep 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres1–3Milwaukee Brewers
23 Sep 2025Milwaukee Brewers @ San Diego Padres7–0San Diego Padres

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 33 meetings on file.

Today's selected board

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