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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 3, 2:55PM UTC

We checked every price on this game against our own numbers. The green ones are the bets worth more than they should be.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Mon 22 Jun 2026, 11:10PM
20
Game markets graded
3
Props graded
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 9.5 Total Runs -111

The model graded 23 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $190 if it lands. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Mon 22 Jun 2026, 11:10PM at Great American Ball Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win65.6%
The price says52.6%
Best price-111
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 9.5 High66% chance -111
Total Runs High70% chance
Total Runs High74% chance
Total Runs High80% chance
Total Runs High77% chance
Total Runs High84% chance
Total Runs High86% chance
Total Runs High91% chance
Total Runs High89% chance
Batter - Hits × 3 props Highup to 91%
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%
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Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
9
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
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Which price is actually worth taking?

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Bryse Wilson RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Eugenio Suarez DHDay-to-day
  • Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut

Probable pitcher

Brandon Williamson SP
Availability updated Sep 2, 11:40PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Jackson Chourio Batter - Hits
William Contreras MIL Batter - Hits
Christian Yelich MIL Batter - Hits

+ 3 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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The players are right there — Pro shows which of their lines the model backs, and how much to put on each.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
1-4L5 record
L5 RF2.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
1.5runs we expect
L5 RF2.6L5 RA3.0Home L51-4vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 1-4, 2.6 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 23 betting markets for Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds — 20 on the game itself and 3 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
3
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 23 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 22 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 3 of their last 5 games; Milwaukee Brewers have won 3 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W7–3SDHome
W4–3SDHome
L0–5SDHome
W7–5CHCAway
L5–17CHCAway
Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W9–5CHCAway
W9–4CHCAway
L3–17CHCAway
L4–7TEXHome
W5–3TEXHome

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 3.8 runs per game (3-2) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 4.6 (3-2); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 2.6 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for Milwaukee Brewers.

3.8
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
4.6
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game3.84.6
Hits / game4.86.6
Home runs / game0.40.6
Walks drawn / game1.62.4
Batter K / game5.44.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.62.8
Pitching K / game2.65.4
Walks allowed / game1.60.4
L5 record3-23-2

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 2, Milwaukee Brewers won 8.

DateCincinnati RedsMilwaukee BrewersWinner
Jul 224Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 272Cincinnati Reds
Jun 3027Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2935Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2456Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2302Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2212Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 2414Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 2319Milwaukee Brewers
Mar 1163Cincinnati Reds

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Eugenio Suarez DHDAY-TO-DAY
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3BOUT
Graham Ashcraft RPOUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Bryse Wilson RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Rob Zastryzny RPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Deep dive into Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers stats and odds.

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 7 Total Runs (-323)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

🔒 The other 5 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Brewers vs Reds, or as Reds vs Brewers. The most recent game between them was Monday 22 June 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 55 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 39–16 across the last 55 meetings · these games average 8.0 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
2 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers4–2Milwaukee Brewers
1 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers4–2Milwaukee Brewers
30 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers7–2Milwaukee Brewers
29 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers5–3Milwaukee Brewers
24 Jun 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds5–6Milwaukee Brewers
23 Jun 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds0–2Milwaukee Brewers
22 Jun 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds1–2Milwaukee Brewers
24 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers4–1Milwaukee Brewers
23 Mar 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers9–1Milwaukee Brewers
11 Mar 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds6–3Cincinnati Reds

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 55 meetings on file.

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