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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Sep 25, 1:26AM UTC

Our model graded 46 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds and backs Over 6.5 hardest, a strong call, and $100 on it returns about $134.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:10PM
20
Game markets graded
26
Props graded
56.8%
Historical Hit Rate
The model's one call for this gamethe prediction, first
Over 6.5 Total Runs -294

The model graded 46 markets for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB) and this is the one it backs hardest — HIGH confidence. A $100 bet returns about $134 if it lands. Picks on this matchup have hit 56.8% across 44 settled results. This one is free — every other market and all player props are Pro. Tip-off Sun 6 Sep 2026, 4:10PM at Great American Ball Park.

Our confidenceHigh
Chance to win73.3%
The price says71.3%
Best price-294
The rest of this game's boardgraded market by market
Total Runs Over 6.5 High73% chance -294
Total Runs Members only Long-shot17% chance Members
Spread - 1st 5 Innings Members only Lean50% chance Members
Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Members only Long-shot10% chance Members
Spread Members only High69% chance Members
Batter - Doubles × 2 props Highup to 75% Members
Batter - Total Bases × 3 props Leanup to 47% Members
Batter - Stolen Bases × 3 props Long-shotup to 25% Members
Batter - RBIs × 3 props Leanup to 47% Members
Batter - Home Runs × 4 props Long-shotup to 38% Members
Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs × 4 props Long-shotup to 28% Members
Batter - Runs Scored × 6 props Long-shotup to 26% Members
Batter - Hits × 1 prop Long-shotup to 7% Members
High = 60%+ chance to win · Lean = 40–60% · Long-shot = under 40%

Milwaukee Brewers and Cincinnati Reds last met on Sun 6 Sep 2026. The model's calls from that game are graded below. Today's board: every MLB game priced right now.

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Over 6.5 · $100 returned $134

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This gameBets like this sit in our formula’s best MLB market — 101 of 171 right (mlb pitcher outs unders)
This bet type · last timeSep 24
Ethan Pecko Under 14.5
Houston Astros @ Seattle Mariners
CASHED
STAKE $100RETURNS $204
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page

Game picks

GOOD PRICE in green
Total Runs
Over
5.5
+ 19 more markets
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All 20 game markets and 26 player props for this matchup — every line, every call the model backs — plus every pick across the slate. Join 57,915+ members.

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Calibrated model vs market

Our chance vs the price, market by market
PickMarketModel lean
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal RunsThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model likes this price 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpread - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro
OverTotal Runs - 1st 5 InningsThe model would pass 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Injuries & who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • Bryse Wilson RPOut
  • Grant Anderson RPOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Bryse Wilson SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BOut
  • Chase Burns SPOut
  • Julian Garcia RPOut
  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Michael Toglia 1BOut
  • Hunter Greene SPOut

Probable pitcher

Brady Singer SP
Availability updated Sep 24, 11:15PM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & injury impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 13 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability13 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

GOOD PRICE in green
PlayerTeamStat
Garrett Mitchell Batter - Doubles
Elly De La Cruz Batter - Doubles
Elly De La Cruz Batter - Total Bases
Hector Rodriguez Batter - Stolen Bases
William Contreras Batter - Stolen Bases

+ 26 player props graded for this game — the line, the call and how much to put on each, with Pro.

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA4.2Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF3.0L5 RA4.2Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
2.7runs we expect
L5 RF3.0L5 RA4.2Home L52-3vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 3.0 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds — what the model found

Our model graded 46 betting markets for Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds — 20 on the game itself and 26 on individual players. One pick is free on this page.

20
Game markets graded
26
Player bets graded

The model checked every betting market for this game and graded 46 of them. One pick is free on this page — the one the model likes most. Scroll down to see it.

🔒 The other 45 graded calls for this game — with how much to bet on each — are for members.
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Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent results

Cincinnati Reds have won 2 of their last 5 games; Milwaukee Brewers have won 4 of their last 5.

Cincinnati Reds — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
L2–3ATLAway
W4–0ATLAway
L1–9CHCHome
L2–5CHCHome
W6–4CHCHome
Milwaukee Brewers — last 5
ResultScoreOpponentWhere
W4–1PHIAway
L4–6PHIAway
W3–0BALAway
W1–0BALAway
W6–5BALAway

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 2.2 runs per game (2-3) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 1.6 (3-2); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 2.2 earned runs per game versus 1.0 for Milwaukee Brewers.

2.2
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
1.6
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game2.21.6
Hits / game2.42.8
Home runs / game0.60.4
Walks drawn / game0.41.4
Batter K / game1.21.8
Earned runs allowed / game2.21.0
Pitching K / game2.41.6
Walks allowed / game1.60.6
L5 record2-33-2

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — recent meetings

These two have met 10 times recently: Cincinnati Reds won 4, Milwaukee Brewers won 6.

DateCincinnati RedsMilwaukee BrewersWinner
Sep 1343Cincinnati Reds
Sep 12913Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 11020Milwaukee Brewers
Sep 6128Cincinnati Reds
Sep 553Cincinnati Reds
Sep 4710Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 224Milwaukee Brewers
Jul 272Cincinnati Reds
Jun 3027Milwaukee Brewers
Jun 2935Milwaukee Brewers

Who’s out or in doubt

13 players are listed as out or in doubt for this game.

Cincinnati Reds
PlayerStatus
Tony Santillan RPOUT
Spencer Steer 1BOUT
Chase Burns SPOUT
Julian Garcia RPOUT
Blake Dunn CFOUT
Michael Toglia 1BOUT
Hunter Greene SPOUT
Milwaukee Brewers
PlayerStatus
Bryse Wilson RPOUT
Grant Anderson RPOUT
Brandon Woodruff SPOUT
Brian Fitzpatrick RPOUT
Quinn Priester SPOUT
Angel Zerpa RPOUT

The full availability report — with what each missing player means for the bets — is further down this page.

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

Our Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds prediction for September 7, 2026, plus every bet we like in the game and how confident we are in each.

On September 7, 2026 our model has run Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds and priced every market it can. Our strongest call is Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers: Over 2.5 alternate totals 1st 5 innings (-400), which we rate HIGH confidence. We walk through all 6 bets we like in this game below. Everything below is our own number against the price the book is offering, written in plain English with how confident we are in words.

Every bet we like in this game

🔒 The other 6 write-ups for this game — with how much to bet on each — are Pro.
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Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
44
Total Picks
56.8%
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -0.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers -2.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 7.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 11 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers 0.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -2 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -1 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 6.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers +1 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs - 1st 5 Innings Over 9.5 ✓ HIT
06 Sep 26 Spread - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers 2.5 ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Moneyline - 1st 5 Innings Milwaukee Brewers ✗ MISS
06 Sep 26 Total Runs Over 8.5 ✓ HIT

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. You may also see this matchup written as Brewers vs Reds, or as Reds vs Brewers. The most recent game between them was Sunday 6 September 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 26 player props for this matchup. The model has recorded a hit rate of 56.8% on tracked picks between these two teams. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

Head-to-head record

Final scores · 61 meetings on record
Milwaukee Brewers 41–20 across the last 61 meetings · these games average 8.8 runs (meetings on record since 2023)
DateGameScoreWinner
13 Sep 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers3–4Cincinnati Reds
12 Sep 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers13–9Milwaukee Brewers
11 Sep 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers20–0Milwaukee Brewers
6 Sep 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds12–8Cincinnati Reds
5 Sep 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds5–3Cincinnati Reds
4 Sep 2026Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds7–10Milwaukee Brewers
2 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers2–7Cincinnati Reds
1 Jul 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers4–2Milwaukee Brewers
30 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers7–2Milwaukee Brewers
29 Jun 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Milwaukee Brewers5–3Milwaukee Brewers

Table shows the last 10 — the record above counts all 61 meetings on file.

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