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Model picks & player props
Milwaukee Brewers
VS
Cincinnati Reds

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 21, 2:07PM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

MLB
Great American Ball Park, Cincinnati
Outdoor
Mon 22 Jun 2026, 11:10PM
20
Game Picks
3
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Milwaukee Brewers -3.5 (Spread)
For Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds (MLB), model win probability 34.0%, fair odds 2.94, book price +230, model edge +3.7%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Mon 22 Jun 2026, 11:10PM at Great American Ball Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Spread
Milwaukee Brewers
-3
+ 19 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
Milwaukee BrewersSpreadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Milwaukee Brewers

  • DL Hall RPOut
  • Kyle Harrison SPOut
  • Brandon Lockridge LFOut
  • David Hamilton 3BOut
  • Brandon Woodruff SPOut
  • Sal Frelick RFOut
  • Rob Zastryzny RPOut
  • Brian Fitzpatrick RPOut
  • Joel Kuhnel RPOut
  • Quinn Priester SPOut
  • Angel Zerpa RPOut

Probable pitcher

Jacob Misiorowski SP

Cincinnati Reds

  • Blake Dunn CFOut
  • Spencer Steer 1BDay-to-day
  • Matt McLain 2BOut
  • Tony Santillan RPOut
  • Graham Ashcraft RPOut
  • Nick Lodolo SPOut
  • Brandon Williamson SPOut

Probable pitcher

Andrew Abbott SP
Availability updated Jul 21, 10:51AM UTC · refreshed roughly every 4 hours.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds: Ballpark wind and temperature can swing the run total, though the live per-park feed isn't wired into this page yet, and 18 players are listed out or questionable across both sides.
FactorThis fixture
Ballpark weatherWind and temperature at the park move run totals, but our ballpark weather module is pending a file-to-table persistence job.
Availability18 listed out or questionable (see Who's out above)

General rule: wind blowing out and warm air help the ball carry (more runs and home runs), while wind in and cold air suppress scoring; the starting pitchers listed above are the single biggest driver of the run total.

Ballpark weather module pending a file-to-table persistence job (owner). We won't show a wind/temperature number until it's persisted to the database.

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Player props

+EV edge in green
PlayerTeamStatLinePickOdds (US)Edge
Jackson Chourio Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
William Contreras MIL Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒
Christian Yelich MIL Batter - Hits 🔒 🔒 🔒 🔒

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineCincinnati RedsNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA2.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3Win rec4-9

Cincinnati Reds moneyline form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Run LineCincinnati Reds run lineNo line posted
2-3L5 record
L5 RF4.6L5 RA2.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3ATS4-10

Cincinnati Reds spread form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Total RunsGame total · Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee BrewersNo line posted

Cincinnati Reds total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Team Total RunsCincinnati Reds team totalNo line posted
3.7implied team total
L5 RF4.6L5 RA2.2Home L53-2vs Milwaukee Brewers L52-3

Cincinnati Reds team total runs form: last five 2-3, 4.6 runs/gm.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds — last-5 form comparison

Over their last five games Cincinnati Reds are scoring 3.8 runs per game (3-2) while Milwaukee Brewers are at 4.6 (3-2); Cincinnati Reds pitchers are allowing 2.6 earned runs per game versus 2.8 for Milwaukee Brewers.

3.8
Cincinnati Reds runs/G
4.6
Milwaukee Brewers runs/G
Last 5 gamesCincinnati RedsMilwaukee Brewers
Runs / game3.84.6
Hits / game4.86.6
Home runs / game0.40.6
Walks drawn / game1.62.4
Batter K / game5.44.2
Earned runs allowed / game2.62.8
Pitching K / game2.65.4
Walks allowed / game1.60.4
L5 record3-23-2

Milwaukee Brewers @ Cincinnati Reds — model preview

<p>Deep dive into Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB game. Find value betting opportunities. Includes analysis on key players like NA. Check out MLB predictions, MLB game picks, baseball betting preview, Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers stats and odds.</p>

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 7 Total Runs (-323)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 6.5 Total Runs (-385)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers : Over 6 Total Runs (-526)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers : Milwaukee Brewers -2.5 (+154)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers : Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+102)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Cincinnati Reds vs Milwaukee Brewers : Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (+100)

Odds available at NA at time of publishing

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
3
Total Picks
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
22 Jun 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -3 ✗ MISS
22 Jun 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -2.5 ✗ MISS
22 Jun 26 Spread Milwaukee Brewers -3.5 ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds in the MLB. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Monday 22 June 2026 at Great American Ball Park. The model has generated 20 game picks and 3 player props for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your MLB betting strategy for this matchup.

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