Sal Frelick (MIL) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-208)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Cardinals host the Brewers, all eyes will be on Sal Frelick, but taking the under on his total bases feels like the savvy play here. While Frelick has shown flashes of talent, he’s struggled against the Cardinals’ pitching staff lately. St. Louis has been adept at limiting opposing hitters, especially at home, where their bullpen has been particularly stingy.
Frelick’s recent form also suggests a dip; in his last few matchups against right-handed pitchers, he’s managed to scrape together less than 1.5 total bases consistently. With the Cardinals’ ace on the mound and their defense tightening up at Busch Stadium, Frelick may find it tough to find gaps or power through the lineup. Given the circumstances, betting the under on 1.5 total bases feels like a wise move as the Cards look to stifle Milwaukee's offense.