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Sal Frelick

MIL

Value call

Sal Frelick has one live pick today: over 1.5 stolen bases that pays $12,600 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.1 stolen bases
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 0.7% · before adjusting for past results 1.8% · the book's price implies 0.8% · gap -0.1%.

Latest Model PickFree
Milwaukee Brewers @ Tampa Bay Rays
Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg, Florida · Indoor
Mon 26 Oct, 8:00 PM ET
Sal Frelick
over 1.5 stolen bases
Batter - Stolen Bases Over 1.5 +12500 (126.00) · $100→$12,600
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 1 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$1260.00 Odds+12500
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for Sal Frelick is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases.
On Batter - Stolen Bases, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Nov 4, 11:39AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb pitcher outs unders: 145 of 250 right
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Stolen Bases1.8%0.7%0.8%—+1.0%

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AI Analysis

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Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers: Sal Frelick Over 1.5 Batter - Stolen Bases (+12500)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The odds for Sal Frelick to steal over 1.5 bases are really high at +12500, which makes this a true long shot. The Tampa Bay Rays have a solid pitching staff that doesn't walk many batters, giving Frelick a chance to get on base and take some risks. However, he hasn't been getting hits much lately, averaging only 0.3 hits per game in his last three outings, which is a bit worrying. On the other hand, the Milwaukee Brewers are in great form, winning 8 of their last 10 games. If Frelick can find a way to get on base, he might take advantage of Tampa's aggressive play. Still, the biggest risk is that Frelick's recent hitting struggles could keep him off the bases. It's a bold pick, but sometimes you have to take a chance!

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Pick History & Track Record

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
24 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Strikeouts — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Strikeouts — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Walks — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Hits — — — Pending
24 Oct 26 Tampa Bay Rays @ Milwaukee Brewers Batter - Singles — — — Pending

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About This Player

Sal Frelick (MIL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for Sal Frelick is Over 1.5 on Batter - Stolen Bases. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.0% on this pick. Their next game is Milwaukee Brewers vs Tampa Bay Rays on Monday 26 October at Tropicana Field, St. Petersburg. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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